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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team Win Probability Before Play |
Home Team Win Probability Added |
|
1 |
174 |
Temple |
2 |
13 |
23 |
4 |
P.J. Walker Pass to Robby Anderson for 23, TOUCHDOWN |
0.659 |
-0.310 |
|
2 |
154 |
East Carolina |
1 |
10 |
45 |
4 |
Anthony Scott Rush for 0, FUMBLE |
0.850 |
-0.163 |
|
3 |
122 |
East Carolina |
2 |
10 |
59 |
3 |
Blake Kemp Pass INTERCEPTED |
0.745 |
-0.163 |
|
4 |
90 |
East Carolina |
4 |
10 |
37 |
2 |
Blake Kemp Pass to Bryce Williams for 21, FIRST DOWN |
0.443 |
0.160 |
|
5 |
169 |
Temple |
2 |
24 |
85 |
4 |
P.J. Walker Pass to Robby Anderson for 51, FIRST DOWN |
0.804 |
-0.156 |
Temple 24, East Carolina 14
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | East Carolina | Temple | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 88 | 61 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 25.5 | 33.6 | 29.6 |
| Possessions | 12 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 2.80 | 4.00 | 4.76 |
| Leverage Rate** | 59.1% | 60.7% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.502 | 0.553 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | East Carolina | Temple | |
| Total | 33.3 | 29.1 | |
| Rushing | 12.0 | 6.6 | |
| Passing | 21.3 | 22.5 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | East Carolina | Temple | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 37.5% | 36.1% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 37.9% | 36.0% | 42.5% |
| Passing (close) | 37.3% | 36.1% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 40.4% | 32.4% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 33.3% | 41.7% | 30.2% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | East Carolina | Temple | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.01 | 1.32 | 1.26 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.09 | 0.73 | 1.08 |
| Passing (close) | 0.97 | 1.73 | 1.47 |
| Standard Downs | 0.83 | 0.72 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 1.33 | 2.05 | 1.78 |
| Line Stats | East Carolina | Temple | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.04 | 1.61 | 2.85 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.3% | 0.0% | 4.9% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.0% | 0.0% | 7.4% |
| Turnovers | East Carolina | Temple |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 9.3 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Temple +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Temple +1.1 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Temple +0.9 | |
| TO Points Margin | Temple +9.3 points | |
| Situational | East Carolina | Temple |
| Q1 S&P | 0.547 | 0.438 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.595 | 0.548 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.485 | 0.328 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.372 | 0.723 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.504 | 0.572 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.419 | 0.432 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.477 | 0.730 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Temple by 5.1 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Temple by 10 | ||
Little bit of a magic act by Temple here, relying on turnovers and special teams to escape a potential trap game. The Owls clamped down in the second half and eventually generated just enough big plays to get the job done, but yikes.
I'm glad the Owls won, though. The AAC is fun as hell this year, and I'm really hoping for an AAC title game of undefeated Memphis/Houston vs. 12-0 or 11-1 Temple. It deserves it for being so entertaining. And having GameDay in Philly is pretty fantastic, too.