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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team Predicted WP |
Home Team Win Probability Added |
|
1 |
82 |
USC |
2 |
9 |
83 |
2 |
Cody Kessler Pass to Adoree' Jackson for 83, TOUCHDOWN |
0.803 |
-0.217 |
|
2 |
114 |
USC |
3 |
2 |
72 |
3 |
Ronald Jones II Rush for 65, FIRST DOWN |
0.566 |
-0.203 |
|
3 |
146 |
Notre Dame |
2 |
6 |
6 |
4 |
C.J. Prosise Rush for 6, TOUCHDOWN |
0.356 |
0.199 |
|
4 |
160 |
Notre Dame |
3 |
8 |
10 |
4 |
DeShone Kizer Pass to Corey Robinson for 10, TOUCHDOWN |
0.705 |
0.179 |
|
5 |
7 |
USC |
3 |
8 |
43 |
1 |
Cody Kessler Pass to JuJu Smith-Schuster for 37, FIRST DOWN |
0.522 |
-0.155 |
Notre Dame 41, USC 31
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Notre Dame | USC | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 60 | 77 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 32.2 | 24.9 | 29.6 |
| Possessions | 13 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.25 | 3.88 | 4.77 |
| Leverage Rate** | 73.3% | 62.3% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.692 | 0.664 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Notre Dame | USC | |
| Total | 44.6 | 53.0 | |
| Rushing | 22.2 | 14.5 | |
| Passing | 22.4 | 38.6 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Notre Dame | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 46.7% | 40.3% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 58.1% | 35.7% | 42.4% |
| Passing (close) | 34.5% | 42.9% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 50.0% | 45.8% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 37.5% | 31.0% | 29.9% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Notre Dame | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.59 | 1.71 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.23 | 1.45 | 1.08 |
| Passing (close) | 2.24 | 1.84 | 1.47 |
| Standard Downs | 1.42 | 1.29 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 2.22 | 2.75 | 1.79 |
| Line Stats | Notre Dame | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.65 | 2.39 | 2.85 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 11.1% | 0.0% | 5.0% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 18.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Notre Dame | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 7.1 | 4.9 |
| Turnover Margin | Notre Dame +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Notre Dame +0.15 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Notre Dame +0.85 | |
| TO Points Margin | USC +2.2 points | |
| Situational | Notre Dame | USC |
| Q1 S&P | 1.335 | 0.607 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.496 | 1.233 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.493 | 0.735 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.758 | 0.442 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.750 | 0.724 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.757 | 0.602 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.683 | 0.670 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: USC by 10.7 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Notre Dame by 10 | ||
The USC offense was hugely explosive (5 plays of 30+ yards) yet again but it's inefficiency is what cost them the game, especially in the drives to end each half. The Notre Dame offense was fantastic all around, aided by the fact that USC's defense is looking largely inept especially at the defensive line.
Formations/Basics
| USC | Notre Dame | |||
| Backs-Wide | % of Plays | Yds/Play | % of Plays | Yds/Play |
| 0 backs, 4 wide | 1.3% | 0.0 | 1.7% | 35.0 |
| 0 backs, 5 wide | 3.4% | 5.5 | ||
| 1 back, 1 wide | 1.7% | -2.0 | ||
| 1 back, 2 wide | 14.3% | 4.9 | 3.4% | 1.5 |
| 1 back, 3 wide | 44.2% | 8.2 | 37.3% | 13.0 |
| 1 back, 4 wide | 29.9% | 9.0 | 33.9% | 2.2 |
| 2 backs, 2 wide | 2.6% | 2.0 | 5.1% | 7.7 |
| 2 backs, 3 wide | 6.5% | 8.4 | 13.6% | 9.9 |
| 3 backs, 1 wide | 1.3% | 4.0 | ||
| No Huddle? | % of Plays | Yds/Play |
| USC | 100.0% | 7.7 |
| Notre Dame | 100.0% | 8.1 |
| USC | Notre Dame | |||
| Hash | % of Plays | Yds/Play | % of Plays | Yds/Play |
| Left | 28.6% | 3.5 | 37.3% | 6.2 |
| Middle | 13.0% | 11.9 | 23.7% | 11.2 |
| Right | 58.4% | 8.8 | 39.0% | 8.0 |
Passing
| USC | Notre Dame | |||||
| Passing | Comp Rt | Yds/Pass | Passing | Comp Rt | Yds/Pass | |
| Behind Line | 3-3, 106 yards | 100.0% | 35.3 | 5-5, 33 yards | 100.0% | 6.6 |
| 0 to 4 | 13-15, 77 yards | 86.7% | 5.1 | 3-6, 15 yards | 50.0% | 2.5 |
| 5 to 9 | 9-15, 77 yards | 60.0% | 5.1 | 2-4, 18 yards | 50.0% | 4.5 |
| 10 to 19 | 4-9, 68 yards | 44.4% | 7.6 | 3-5, 41 yards | 60.0% | 8.2 |
| 20 to 29 | 1-2, 75 yards | 50.0% | 37.5 | 0-1, 0 yards | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| 30-plus | 1-3, 37 yards | 33.3% | 12.3 | 3-4, 155 yards | 75.0% | 38.8 |
| USC | Notre Dame | |
| % Blitz: | 10.2% | 27.6% |
| Avg. Rushers | 3.9 | 4.2 |
| Passing (no blitz) | 30-43, 403 yards, 1 sacks, 9.2 yds. per att. | 13-17, 233 yards, 4 sacks, 11.1 yds. per att. |
| Passing (blitz) | 1-4, 37 yards, 1 sacks, 7.4 yds. per att. | 3-8, 29 yards, 0 sacks, 3.6 yds. per att. |
| Reason for INC/INT | USC | Notre Dame |
| QB Fault | 9 | 5 |
| Good Defense | 6 | 2 |
| WR Fault | 1 | 1 |
Cody Kessler's are fine on the surface, however in 2 minute drives in the 2nd quarter and 4th quarter combined he only averaged 6 yards per completion, threw two interceptions and took 2 sacks. That won't win any football games, let alone this past one against Notre Dame.
Rushing
| USC | Notre Dame | |||
| Rush-Yds | YPC | Rush-Yds | YPC | |
| To Edge | 9-68 | 7.6 | 11-104 | 9.5 |
| Toward Tackle | 12-23 | 1.9 | 6-50 | 8.3 |
| Up Middle | 3-66 | 22.0 | 8-61 | 7.6 |
Ronald Jones continual lack of carries is frustrating, granted his average is boosted by his long 65 yard run, it just doesn't make sense to me why you wouldn't give a guy who can spring a run for 65 yards the ball more. Tre Madden was the worst runner of the day, with only 23 yards on 9 carries aka the most a RB got.
The Trojan defense couldn't stop CJ Prosise and was continually dominated at the LOS by Notre Dame's outstanding offensive line, giving up a total of 7 runs of 15+ yards.
QB Activity
| USC | Notre Dame | |||||
| QB Move | Rushes-Yds | Passes-Yds | Sacks-Yds | Rushes-Yds | Passes-Yds | Sacks-Yds |
| Option - zone read | 8-39 | |||||
| QB Draw | 2-13 | |||||
| Sack - in pocket | 2-(-9) | |||||
| Sack - coverage sack | 2-(-17) | |||||
| Sack - QB fault | 1-(-1) | |||||
| Broken Play | ||||||