clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Baylor 62, WVU 38: Bears had 12 scoring opportunities in 15 possessions

New, 1 comment
Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

baylorwvuwp

Top 5 Plays

Play Number

Offense

Down

Distance

Spot

Quarter

Play Description

Home Team Predicted WP

Home Team Win Probability Added

1

10

West Virginia

1

10

70

1

Skyler Howard Pass to Shelton Gibson for 70, TOUCHDOWN

0.719

-0.122

2

84

West Virginia

2

12

50

2

Skyler Howard Pass to Jordan Thompson for 47, FIRST DOWN

0.817

-0.122

3

58

West Virginia

3

15

35

2

Skyler Howard Pass to David Sills for 29, FIRST DOWN

0.794

-0.121

4

14

Baylor

2

6

69

1

Seth Russell Pass to Corey Coleman for 42, FIRST DOWN

0.564

0.113

5

3

Baylor

1

10

65

1

Seth Russell Pass to Corey Coleman for 50, FIRST DOWN

0.587

0.113

Ha, every important play was a long pass.

Baylor 62, West Virginia 38

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Baylor West Virginia Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 84 83
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 71.3%
Avg Starting FP 33.8 26.9 29.6
Possessions 15 14
Scoring Opportunities*
12 6
Points Per Opportunity 5.17 5.17 4.77
Leverage Rate** 67.8% 61.7% 68.1%
Close S&P*** 0.762 0.649 0.586
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Baylor West Virginia
Total 67.2 44.8
Rushing 29.1 16.6
Passing 38.1 28.2
Success Rate (what's this?) Baylor West Virginia Nat'l Avg
All (close) 42.4% 33.3% 41.6%
Rushing (close) 40.0% 33.3% 42.4%
Passing (close) 44.8% 33.3% 40.7%
Standard Downs 52.5% 35.1% 47.1%
Passing Downs 21.1% 30.4% 29.9%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Baylor West Virginia Nat'l Avg
All (close) 2.11 1.91 1.27
Rushing (close) 1.85 1.18 1.08
Passing (close) 2.36 3.00 1.47
Standard Downs 1.93 1.73 1.11
Passing Downs 3.09 2.24 1.79
Line Stats Baylor West Virginia Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 4.12 2.64 2.85
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 4.8% 0.0% 5.0%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 6.7% 7.3%
Turnovers Baylor West Virginia
Turnovers 0 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.0 2.2
Turnover Margin Baylor +1
Exp. TO Margin West Virginia +1.31
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Baylor +2.31
TO Points Margin Baylor +2.2 points
Situational Baylor West Virginia
Q1 S&P 0.741 0.589
Q2 S&P 0.647 0.797
Q3 S&P 0.937 0.540
Q4 S&P 0.614 0.425
1st Down S&P 0.792 0.580
2nd Down S&P 0.697 0.620
3rd Down S&P 0.760 0.538
Projected Scoring Margin: Baylor by 24.6
Actual Scoring Margin: Baylor by 24

Baylor laid the ball on the ground three times and recovered all three. That's even more demoralizing. HERE'S OUR CHANCE ... sigh.