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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team Predicted WP |
Home Team Win Probability Added |
|
1 |
10 |
West Virginia |
1 |
10 |
70 |
1 |
Skyler Howard Pass to Shelton Gibson for 70, TOUCHDOWN |
0.719 |
-0.122 |
|
2 |
84 |
West Virginia |
2 |
12 |
50 |
2 |
Skyler Howard Pass to Jordan Thompson for 47, FIRST DOWN |
0.817 |
-0.122 |
|
3 |
58 |
West Virginia |
3 |
15 |
35 |
2 |
Skyler Howard Pass to David Sills for 29, FIRST DOWN |
0.794 |
-0.121 |
|
4 |
14 |
Baylor |
2 |
6 |
69 |
1 |
Seth Russell Pass to Corey Coleman for 42, FIRST DOWN |
0.564 |
0.113 |
|
5 |
3 |
Baylor |
1 |
10 |
65 |
1 |
Seth Russell Pass to Corey Coleman for 50, FIRST DOWN |
0.587 |
0.113 |
Ha, every important play was a long pass.
Baylor 62, West Virginia 38
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Baylor | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 84 | 83 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 71.3% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 33.8 | 26.9 | 29.6 |
| Possessions | 15 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
12 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.17 | 5.17 | 4.77 |
| Leverage Rate** | 67.8% | 61.7% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.762 | 0.649 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Baylor | West Virginia | |
| Total | 67.2 | 44.8 | |
| Rushing | 29.1 | 16.6 | |
| Passing | 38.1 | 28.2 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Baylor | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 42.4% | 33.3% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 40.0% | 33.3% | 42.4% |
| Passing (close) | 44.8% | 33.3% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 52.5% | 35.1% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 21.1% | 30.4% | 29.9% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Baylor | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 2.11 | 1.91 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.85 | 1.18 | 1.08 |
| Passing (close) | 2.36 | 3.00 | 1.47 |
| Standard Downs | 1.93 | 1.73 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 3.09 | 2.24 | 1.79 |
| Line Stats | Baylor | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 4.12 | 2.64 | 2.85 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 4.8% | 0.0% | 5.0% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Baylor | West Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 2.2 |
| Turnover Margin | Baylor +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | West Virginia +1.31 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Baylor +2.31 | |
| TO Points Margin | Baylor +2.2 points | |
| Situational | Baylor | West Virginia |
| Q1 S&P | 0.741 | 0.589 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.647 | 0.797 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.937 | 0.540 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.614 | 0.425 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.792 | 0.580 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.697 | 0.620 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.760 | 0.538 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Baylor by 24.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Baylor by 24 | ||
Playing Baylor is so demoralizing. "We scored! Now all we've gotta do is...*sigh*...make a stop...oh look, they just crossed midfield..."
— Bill Connelly (@SBN_BillC) October 17, 2015
Baylor laid the ball on the ground three times and recovered all three. That's even more demoralizing. HERE'S OUR CHANCE ... sigh.
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