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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team Predicted WP |
Home Team Win Probability Added |
|
1 |
94 |
Miami (Florida) |
3 |
20 |
89 |
2 |
Brad Kaaya Pass to Herb Waters for 45, FIRST DOWN |
0.449 |
0.203 |
|
2 |
158 |
Virginia Tech |
2 |
12 |
33 |
4 |
Michael Brewer Pass to Isaiah Ford for 33, TOUCHDOWN |
0.906 |
-0.184 |
|
3 |
10 |
Virginia Tech |
2 |
4 |
84 |
1 |
Brenden Motley Rush for -13, FUMBLE |
0.580 |
0.163 |
|
4 |
109 |
Virginia Tech |
1 |
10 |
30 |
3 |
Brenden Motley INTERCEPTED |
0.684 |
0.117 |
|
5 |
4 |
Miami (Florida) |
2 |
12 |
77 |
1 |
Brad Kaaya Pass to Joseph Yearby for 25, FIRST DOWN |
0.523 |
0.096 |
Miami 30, Virginia Tech 20
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Miami | Virginia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 69 | 62 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 36.8 | 23.7 | 29.6 |
| Possessions | 12 | 11 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.75 | 3.33 | 4.77 |
| Leverage Rate** | 66.7% | 75.8% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.581 | 0.625 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Miami | Virginia Tech | |
| Total | 36.1 | 33.9 | |
| Rushing | 10.7 | 15.7 | |
| Passing | 25.4 | 18.3 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Miami | Virginia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 33.3% | 51.6% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 18.4% | 59.4% | 42.4% |
| Passing (close) | 51.6% | 43.3% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 34.8% | 55.3% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 30.4% | 40.0% | 29.9% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Miami | Virginia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.57 | 1.06 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.53 | 0.83 | 1.08 |
| Passing (close) | 1.58 | 1.41 | 1.47 |
| Standard Downs | 1.26 | 0.99 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 2.27 | 1.35 | 1.79 |
| Line Stats | Miami | Virginia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 1.92 | 2.81 | 2.85 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 15.4% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Miami | Virginia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 4 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 17.1 |
| Turnover Margin | Miami +4 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Miami +0.66 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Miami +3.34 | |
| TO Points Margin | Miami +17.1 points | |
| Situational | Miami | Virginia Tech |
| Q1 S&P | 0.655 | 0.757 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.620 | 0.521 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.442 | 0.555 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.540 | 0.657 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.613 | 0.674 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.535 | 0.636 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.585 | 0.754 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Miami by 19.2 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Miami by 10 | ||
Miami has perfected the art of playing as well as or better than the opponent but creating/receiving bad breaks and losing. On Saturday, the shoe was on the foot of Miami's opponent.