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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team Predicted WP |
Home Team Win Probability Added |
|
1 |
5 |
Ohio State |
4 |
11 |
79 |
1 |
PUNT |
0.439 |
0.115 |
|
2 |
7 |
Penn State |
1 |
10 |
66 |
1 |
Christian Hackenberg Pass to Chris Godwin for 45, FIRST DOWN |
0.526 |
-0.112 |
|
3 |
45 |
Ohio State |
3 |
11 |
60 |
1 |
Cardale Jones Pass to Braxton Miller for 17, FIRST DOWN |
0.441 |
0.106 |
|
4 |
40 |
Penn State |
3 |
8 |
51 |
1 |
Christian Hackenberg Rush for -7 |
0.425 |
0.087 |
|
5 |
49 |
Ohio State |
3 |
7 |
25 |
2 |
J.T. Barrett Rush for 12, FIRST DOWN |
0.545 |
0.078 |
Ohio State 38, Penn State 10
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Ohio State | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 69 | 53 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 89.3% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 36.4 | 16.7 | 29.6 |
| Possessions | 13 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 4 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.43 | 2.50 | 4.77 |
| Leverage Rate** | 69.8% | 73.9% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.621 | 0.620 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Ohio State | Penn State | |
| Total | 41.4 | 27.7 | |
| Rushing | 31.2 | 17.9 | |
| Passing | 10.1 | 9.8 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Ohio State | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 47.6% | 41.3% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 51.2% | 48.4% | 42.4% |
| Passing (close) | 40.0% | 26.7% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 56.8% | 52.9% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 26.3% | 8.3% | 29.9% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Ohio State | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.20 | 1.45 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.21 | 1.18 | 1.08 |
| Passing (close) | 1.17 | 2.45 | 1.47 |
| Standard Downs | 1.03 | 1.44 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 2.05 | 1.56 | 1.79 |
| Line Stats | Ohio State | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.77 | 3.64 | 2.85 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.0% | 25.0% | 5.0% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.0% | 28.6% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Ohio State | Penn State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 4.6 |
| Turnover Margin | Ohio State +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Ohio State +0.07 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Ohio State +0.93 | |
| TO Points Margin | Ohio State +4.6 points | |
| Situational | Ohio State | Penn State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.430 | 0.536 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.847 | 0.512 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.435 | 0.722 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.784 | 0.719 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.616 | 0.619 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.671 | 0.796 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.564 | 0.403 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Ohio State by 18.2 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Ohio State by 28 | ||
Worst Starting Field Position in a game (2015 to date)
1. USF vs. Memphis (15.2)
2. Nicholls State vs. Colorado (15.4)
3. Miami-Ohio vs. Ohio (16.5)
4. Penn State vs. Ohio State (16.7)
5. Virginia vs. Pitt (16.8)
Penn State ran the ball pretty well and came up with more big pass plays than I expected ... but had to drive, on average, 83 yards to score a touchdown. Probably not a surprise that the Nittany Lions only scored one of those. Urban Meyer teams are so very, very good at the special teams and field position thing.
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