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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team Predicted WP |
Home Team Win Probability Added |
|
1 |
108 |
Florida State |
3 |
5 |
70 |
3 |
Everett Golson Pass to Kermit Whitfield for 70, TOUCHDOWN |
0.504 |
0.253 |
|
2 |
42 |
Florida State |
3 |
26 |
71 |
1 |
Everett Golson Pass to Kermit Whitfield for 14 |
0.335 |
0.177 |
|
3 |
92 |
Florida State |
1 |
10 |
54 |
3 |
Dalvin Cook Rush for 54, TOUCHDOWN |
0.588 |
0.149 |
|
4 |
86 |
Louisville |
1 |
10 |
47 |
2 |
Lamar Jackson Rush for -2 |
0.422 |
0.133 |
|
5 |
35 |
Louisville |
1 |
10 |
66 |
1 |
Lamar Jackson Pass to James Quick for 48, FIRST DOWN |
0.618 |
-0.117 |
Florida State 41, Louisville 21
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Florida State | Louisville | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 71 | 65 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 86.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 28.3 | 23.2 | 29.6 |
| Possessions | 11 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 3 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.86 | 7.00 | 4.77 |
| Leverage Rate** | 64.7% | 63.3% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.683 | 0.578 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Florida State | Louisville | |
| Total | 47.6 | 35.7 | |
| Rushing | 13.9 | 9.7 | |
| Passing | 33.7 | 26.0 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Florida State | Louisville | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 52.9% | 36.7% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 50.0% | 38.1% | 42.4% |
| Passing (close) | 55.0% | 35.7% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 54.6% | 32.3% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 50.0% | 44.4% | 29.9% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Florida State | Louisville | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.30 | 1.42 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.97 | 1.03 | 1.08 |
| Passing (close) | 1.51 | 1.73 | 1.47 |
| Standard Downs | 0.96 | 1.42 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 1.98 | 1.42 | 1.79 |
| Line Stats | Florida State | Louisville | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.42 | 3.83 | 2.85 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 17.7% | 5.0% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.0% | 18.2% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Florida State | Louisville |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 4.7 |
| Turnover Margin | Florida State +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Florida State +0.88 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Florida State +1.12 | |
| TO Points Margin | Florida State +4.7 points | |
| Situational | Florida State | Louisville |
| Q1 S&P | 0.573 | 0.656 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.487 | 0.484 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.908 | 0.582 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.640 | 0.637 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.693 | 0.537 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.626 | 0.605 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.554 | 0.618 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Florida State by 16.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Florida State by 20 | ||
I would say those per-quarter numbers tell the story. FSU's offense was a dud in the first half and awesome in the second.