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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team Predicted WP |
Home Team Win Probability Added |
|
1 |
136 |
LSU |
4 |
13 |
16 |
4 |
Trent Domingue Rush for 16, TOUCHDOWN |
0.634 |
0.247 |
|
2 |
122 |
LSU |
4 |
1 |
76 |
3 |
PUNT |
0.791 |
-0.216 |
|
3 |
6 |
Florida |
4 |
3 |
57 |
1 |
PUNT |
0.590 |
-0.195 |
|
4 |
175 |
Florida |
4 |
10 |
51 |
4 |
Treon Harris Pass to Antonio Callaway for 0 |
0.889 |
0.111 |
|
5 |
23 |
Florida |
3 |
12 |
81 |
1 |
Treon Harris Pass to Brandon Powell for 16, FIRST DOWN |
0.376 |
-0.098 |
LSU 35, Florida 28
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Florida | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 63 | 63 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 28.3 | 27.3 | 29.6 |
| Possessions | 12 | 11 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
4 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.25 | 5.83 | 4.77 |
| Leverage Rate** | 66.7% | 63.5% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.541 | 0.647 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Florida | LSU | |
| Total | 28.8 | 40.7 | |
| Rushing | 8.4 | 20.6 | |
| Passing | 20.3 | 20.2 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Florida | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 34.9% | 44.4% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 38.5% | 43.2% | 42.4% |
| Passing (close) | 32.4% | 47.4% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 38.1% | 52.5% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 28.6% | 30.4% | 29.9% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Florida | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.31 | 1.46 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.84 | 1.08 | 1.08 |
| Passing (close) | 1.69 | 2.24 | 1.47 |
| Standard Downs | 1.01 | 1.20 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 2.09 | 2.22 | 1.79 |
| Line Stats | Florida | LSU | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.51 | 3.34 | 2.85 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 20.0% | 0.0% | 5.0% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 5.9% | 0.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Florida | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 5.3 |
| Turnover Margin | Florida +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Florida +0.14 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Florida +0.86 | |
| TO Points Margin | Florida +5.3 points | |
| Situational | Florida | LSU |
| Q1 S&P | 0.482 | 0.613 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.727 | 0.855 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.612 | 0.457 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.535 | 0.520 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.559 | 0.662 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.584 | 0.633 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.581 | 0.503 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: LSU by 6.7 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: LSU by 7 | ||
Man oh man, what an even game. LSU was more efficient on standard downs, and the Tigers' pass rush was more successful, but that early turnover almost caught Florida up, and in the end, the fake field goal made the difference. Really, really fun game.
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