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Top 5 Plays
|
|
Play Number |
Offense |
Down |
Distance |
Spot |
Quarter |
Play Description |
Home Team Predicted WP |
Home Team Win Probability Added |
|
1 |
145 |
Utah |
3 |
3 |
25 |
4 |
Devontae Booker Rush for 25, TOUCHDOWN |
0.453 |
0.274 |
|
2 |
28 |
Utah |
5 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
KICKOFF |
0.749 |
-0.161 |
|
3 |
118 |
Arizona State |
5 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
KICKOFF |
0.622 |
-0.133 |
|
4 |
77 |
Utah |
3 |
12 |
83 |
2 |
Travis Wilson Pass to Tyrone Smith for 22, FIRST DOWN |
0.639 |
0.107 |
|
5 |
160 |
Arizona State |
1 |
10 |
75 |
4 |
Kalen Ballage Rush for -2, FUMBLE |
0.822 |
0.106 |
Man oh man, Utah just tried to MURDER itself on special teams in this game...
Utah 34, Arizona State 18
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Arizona State | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 70 | 67 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 24.8 | 35.3 | 29.6 |
| Possessions | 15 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
4 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 2.25 | 4.86 | 4.77 |
| Leverage Rate** | 54.3% | 62.7% | 68.1% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.443 | 0.575 | 0.586 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
|||
| EqPts (what's this?) | Arizona State | Utah | |
| Total | 21.2 | 34.6 | |
| Rushing | 3.4 | 11.5 | |
| Passing | 17.8 | 23.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Arizona State | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 24.3% | 35.8% | 41.6% |
| Rushing (close) | 17.4% | 19.2% | 42.4% |
| Passing (close) | 27.7% | 46.3% | 40.7% |
| Standard Downs | 31.6% | 38.1% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 15.6% | 32.0% | 29.9% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Arizona State | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.24 | 1.44 | 1.27 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.84 | 2.30 | 1.08 |
| Passing (close) | 1.37 | 1.21 | 1.47 |
| Standard Downs | 1.13 | 1.42 | 1.11 |
| Passing Downs | 1.52 | 1.49 | 1.79 |
| Line Stats | Arizona State | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 1.09 | 1.44 | 2.85 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 9.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 12.0% | 22.2% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Arizona State | Utah |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 5.5 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Utah +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Utah +2.05 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Arizona State +0.05 | |
| TO Points Margin | Utah +5.5 points | |
| Situational | Arizona State | Utah |
| Q1 S&P | 0.000 | 0.521 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.478 | 0.665 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.567 | 0.368 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.369 | 0.680 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.484 | 0.591 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.468 | 0.633 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.405 | 0.406 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Utah by 18.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Utah by 16 | ||
If not for special teams (ASU's kick return touchdown, a long punt return, and the most hilariously awful kick return trick play you'll ever see, which resulted in a safety), Utah would have put this game away early. The Utes were more efficient and had turnovers on their side. But special teams count, too, huh? As it stood, ASU was in wonderful shape for an upset until a 20-point fourth quarter from the Utes.