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Wake Forest 3, Boston College 0: It's okay to hate something you love sometimes

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This was every play.
This was every play.
Gregory Fisher-USA TODAY Sports

wakebc

Top 5 Plays

Play Number

Offense

Down

Distance

Spot

Quarter

Play Description

Home Team Win Probability Before Play

Home Team Win Probability Added

1

174

Boston College

1

1

1

4

Tyler Rouse Rush for 0

0.625

-0.625

2

171

Wake Forest

3

3

89

4

Matt Colburn Rush for 0, FUMBLE

0.366

0.210

3

166

Boston College

3

1

8

4

Troy Flutie Rush for 4, FUMBLE

0.550

-0.203

4

100

Boston College

2

10

35

3

Jeff Smith Rush for -2, FUMBLE

0.528

-0.148

5

149

Wake Forest

3

7

64

4

Matt Colburn Rush for -2

0.334

0.138

Wake Forest 3, Boston College 0

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Boston College Wake Forest Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 74 53
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 34.1 27.0 29.6
Possessions 15 15
Scoring Opportunities*
5 2
Points Per Opportunity 0.00 1.50 4.76
Leverage Rate** 64.9% 49.1% 68.1%
Close S&P*** 0.450 0.419 0.585
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Boston College Wake Forest
Total 23.4 11.0
Rushing 17.2 2.1
Passing 6.2 8.9
Success Rate (what's this?) Boston College Wake Forest Nat'l Avg
All (close) 28.4% 13.2% 41.5%
Rushing (close) 34.0% 7.4% 42.5%
Passing (close) 14.3% 19.2% 40.5%
Standard Downs 27.1% 15.4% 47.0%
Passing Downs 30.8% 11.1% 29.8%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Boston College Wake Forest Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.12 1.57 1.26
Rushing (close) 0.96 1.05 1.07
Passing (close) 2.08 1.77 1.48
Standard Downs 0.94 0.98 1.11
Passing Downs 1.40 2.35 1.79
Line Stats Boston College Wake Forest Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.48 0.70 2.84
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 8.3% 5.0%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 8.3% 0.0% 7.2%
Turnovers Boston College Wake Forest
Turnovers 4 2
Turnover Points (what's this?) 19.0 8.8
Turnover Margin Wake Forest +2
Exp. TO Margin Wake Forest +1.09
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Wake Forest +0.91
TO Points Margin Wake Forest +10.2 points
Situational Boston College Wake Forest
Q1 S&P 0.567 0.784
Q2 S&P 0.299 0.405
Q3 S&P 0.530 0.353
Q4 S&P 0.459 0.321
1st Down S&P 0.426 0.460
2nd Down S&P 0.418 0.329
3rd Down S&P 0.593 0.402
Projected Scoring Margin: Boston College by 2.3
Actual Scoring Margin: Wake Forest by 3

Boston College has allowed 12 points in two weeks and LOST TWICE. Wake Forest is now 0-8 in ACC play when scoring a touchdown and 2-1 when not. Wake Forest averaged 0.7 line yards per carry and had a 13 percent success rate for the game and WON. I just can't. I just can't.