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Study Hall: Georgia 35, Tennessee 32

Kevin C. Cox

Georgia 35, Tennessee 32

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Georgia Tennessee Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 78 78
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 28.8 28.4 29.8
Possessions 15 15
Scoring Opportunities*
5 6
Points Per Opportunity 5.60 5.17 4.72
Leverage Rate** 73.1% 61.5% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.531 0.497 0.507
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Georgia Tennessee
Total 26.9 27.7
Rushing 18.9 8.1
Passing 7.9 19.6
Success Rate (what's this?) Georgia Tennessee Nat'l Avg
All (close) 48.7% 39.7% 42.1%
Rushing (close) 54.0% 45.2% 43.4%
Passing (close) 39.3% 36.2% 40.8%
Standard Downs 54.4% 47.9% 47.5%
Passing Downs 33.3% 26.7% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Georgia Tennessee Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.71 0.89 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.70 0.58 0.72
Passing (close) 0.72 1.15 0.99
Standard Downs 0.61 0.71 0.77
Passing Downs 1.15 1.42 1.13
Line Stats Georgia Tennessee Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.00 3.42 2.90
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 6.7% 4.2% 4.5%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 15.4% 8.7% 7.3%
Turnovers Georgia Tennessee
Turnovers 2 2
Turnover Points (what's this?) 5.2 10.5
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin Georgia +0.22
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Tennessee +0.22
TO Points Margin Georgia +5.3 points
Situational Georgia Tennessee
Q1 S&P 0.464 0.504
Q2 S&P 0.666 0.551
Q3 S&P 0.301 0.430
Q4 S&P 0.577 0.547
1st Down S&P 0.504 0.513
2nd Down S&P 0.437 0.651
3rd Down S&P 0.596 0.297
Projected Scoring Margin: Georgia by 4.5
Actual Scoring Margin: Georgia by 3

Field position: even. Finishing drives: basically even. Gains: basically even. Line play: mostly even. In the end, Georgia was more efficient, Tennessee's big plays were a little bigger (especially in the passing game, with which Georgia continues to lag behind), and Tennessee's turnovers were more costly (and fumbles in the end zone tend to be more costly).

That about sum it up? This was a confusing game to watch ... it almost seems stranget that the stats spell it out so clearly.