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Study Hall: Minnesota 30, Michigan 14

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Leon Halip

Minnesota 30, Michigan 14

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Michigan Minnesota Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 53 70
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 87.8%
Avg Starting FP 20.1 36.0 29.8
Possessions 12 12
Scoring Opportunities*
2 8
Points Per Opportunity 7.00 2.88 4.72
Leverage Rate** 41.5% 61.4% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.318 0.488 0.507
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Michigan Minnesota
Total 12.0 21.9
Rushing 8.8 13.1
Passing 3.2 8.8
Success Rate (what's this?) Michigan Minnesota Nat'l Avg
All (close) 19.5% 41.8% 42.1%
Rushing (close) 19.1% 39.0% 43.4%
Passing (close) 20.0% 46.2% 40.8%
Standard Downs 27.3% 41.9% 47.5%
Passing Downs 10.5% 41.7% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Michigan Minnesota Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.81 0.77 0.85
Rushing (close) 1.26 0.79 0.72
Passing (close) 0.36 0.74 0.99
Standard Downs 0.48 0.70 0.77
Passing Downs 1.81 0.88 1.13
Line Stats Michigan Minnesota Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 1.07 3.02 2.90
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 7.1% 0.0% 4.5%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 16.7% 0.0% 7.3%
Turnovers Michigan Minnesota
Turnovers 2 0
Turnover Points (what's this?) 11.6 0.0
Turnover Margin Minnesota +2
Exp. TO Margin Minnesota +2.12
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Michigan +0.12
TO Points Margin Minnesota +11.6 points
Situational Michigan Minnesota
Q1 S&P 0.233 0.329
Q2 S&P 0.533 0.594
Q3 S&P N/A 0.501
Q4 S&P 0.533 0.463
1st Down S&P 0.355 0.297
2nd Down S&P 0.607 0.500
3rd Down S&P 0.496 0.344
Projected Scoring Margin: Minnesota by 21.5
Actual Scoring Margin: Minnesota by 16

Why the "N/A" in Michigan's third-quarter S&P above? Because Michigan didn't have a successful play in the third quarter.

I have nothing else to add. I think that (and what everybody else has writing about this game) says pretty much everything.