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Minnesota 30, Michigan 14
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Michigan | Minnesota | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 53 | 70 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 87.8% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 20.1 | 36.0 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 12 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
2 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 7.00 | 2.88 | 4.72 |
| Leverage Rate** | 41.5% | 61.4% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.318 | 0.488 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Michigan | Minnesota | |
| Total | 12.0 | 21.9 | |
| Rushing | 8.8 | 13.1 | |
| Passing | 3.2 | 8.8 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Michigan | Minnesota | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 19.5% | 41.8% | 42.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 19.1% | 39.0% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 20.0% | 46.2% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 27.3% | 41.9% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 10.5% | 41.7% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Michigan | Minnesota | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.81 | 0.77 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.26 | 0.79 | 0.72 |
| Passing (close) | 0.36 | 0.74 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.48 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.81 | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Michigan | Minnesota | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 1.07 | 3.02 | 2.90 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 7.1% | 0.0% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 16.7% | 0.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Michigan | Minnesota |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 0 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 11.6 | 0.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Minnesota +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Minnesota +2.12 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Michigan +0.12 | |
| TO Points Margin | Minnesota +11.6 points | |
| Situational | Michigan | Minnesota |
| Q1 S&P | 0.233 | 0.329 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.533 | 0.594 |
| Q3 S&P | N/A | 0.501 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.533 | 0.463 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.355 | 0.297 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.607 | 0.500 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.496 | 0.344 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Minnesota by 21.5 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Minnesota by 16 | ||
Why the "N/A" in Michigan's third-quarter S&P above? Because Michigan didn't have a successful play in the third quarter.
I have nothing else to add. I think that (and what everybody else has writing about this game) says pretty much everything.
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