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California 59, Colorado 56
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | California | Colorado | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 71 | 110 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 35.6 | 38.1 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 17 | 17 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
10 | 12 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.90 | 4.67 | 4.72 |
| Leverage Rate** | 62.0% | 74.6% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.643 | 0.585 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | California | Colorado | |
| Total | 45.2 | 47.4 | |
| Rushing | 9.3 | 11.9 | |
| Passing | 35.9 | 35.6 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | California | Colorado | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 45.1% | 52.7% | 42.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 42.9% | 44.2% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 46.5% | 58.2% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 47.7% | 53.7% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 40.7% | 50.0% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | California | Colorado | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.41 | 0.82 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.78 | 0.62 | 0.72 |
| Passing (close) | 1.79 | 0.91 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.94 | 0.84 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 2.32 | 0.76 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | California | Colorado | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.53 | 3.07 | 2.90 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 8.3% | 0.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | California | Colorado |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.7 | 3.9 |
| Turnover Margin | Colorado +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | California +0.22 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Colorado +1.22 | |
| TO Points Margin | California +3.2 points | |
| Situational | California | Colorado |
| Q1 S&P | 0.699 | 0.689 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.587 | 0.523 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.719 | 0.500 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.662 | 0.602 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.570 | 0.477 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.669 | 0.694 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.460 | 0.856 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: California by 1.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: California by 3 | ||
Always be closing (drives), Colorado. Three missed field goals were, to say the least, costly. Otherwise this game was absurdly even. Colorado was crazy-efficient, while Cal bailed itself out with big plays.