clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Study Hall: California 59, Colorado 56

Kelley L Cox-USA TODAY Sports

California 59, Colorado 56

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics California Colorado Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 71 110
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 35.6 38.1 29.8
Possessions 17 17
Scoring Opportunities*
10 12
Points Per Opportunity 5.90 4.67 4.72
Leverage Rate** 62.0% 74.6% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.643 0.585 0.507
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) California Colorado
Total 45.2 47.4
Rushing 9.3 11.9
Passing 35.9 35.6
Success Rate (what's this?) California Colorado Nat'l Avg
All (close) 45.1% 52.7% 42.1%
Rushing (close) 42.9% 44.2% 43.4%
Passing (close) 46.5% 58.2% 40.8%
Standard Downs 47.7% 53.7% 47.5%
Passing Downs 40.7% 50.0% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) California Colorado Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.41 0.82 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.78 0.62 0.72
Passing (close) 1.79 0.91 0.99
Standard Downs 0.94 0.84 0.77
Passing Downs 2.32 0.76 1.13
Line Stats California Colorado Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.53 3.07 2.90
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 4.5%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 8.3% 0.0% 7.3%
Turnovers California Colorado
Turnovers 2 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.7 3.9
Turnover Margin Colorado +1
Exp. TO Margin California +0.22
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Colorado +1.22
TO Points Margin California +3.2 points
Situational California Colorado
Q1 S&P 0.699 0.689
Q2 S&P 0.587 0.523
Q3 S&P 0.719 0.500
Q4 S&P 0.662 0.602
1st Down S&P 0.570 0.477
2nd Down S&P 0.669 0.694
3rd Down S&P 0.460 0.856
Projected Scoring Margin: California by 1.0
Actual Scoring Margin: California by 3

Always be closing (drives), Colorado. Three missed field goals were, to say the least, costly. Otherwise this game was absurdly even. Colorado was crazy-efficient, while Cal bailed itself out with big plays.