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Study Hall: Baylor 49, Iowa State 28

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Reese Strickland-USA TODAY Sports

Baylor 49, Iowa State 28

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Baylor Iowa State Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 97 73
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 61.8%
Avg Starting FP 32.8 27.6 29.8
Possessions 16 16
Scoring Opportunities*
10 6
Points Per Opportunity 4.90 4.67 4.72
Leverage Rate** 59.8% 27.4% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.688 0.352 0.507
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Baylor Iowa State
Total 44.3 24.4
Rushing 24.4 11.2
Passing 19.9 13.2
Success Rate (what's this?) Baylor Iowa State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 64.2% 26.3% 42.1%
Rushing (close) 65.5% 30.8% 43.4%
Passing (close) 63.2% 24.0% 40.8%
Standard Downs 69.0% 30.0% 47.5%
Passing Downs 33.3% 22.2% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Baylor Iowa State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.87 0.70 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.99 0.35 0.72
Passing (close) 0.78 0.94 0.99
Standard Downs 0.90 0.54 0.77
Passing Downs 0.59 0.96 1.13
Line Stats Baylor Iowa State Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.84 2.30 2.90
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 18.2% 4.5%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 7.1% 7.3%
Turnovers Baylor Iowa State
Turnovers 1 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 3.1 4.0
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin Baylor +0.51
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Iowa State +0.51
TO Points Margin Baylor +0.9 points
Situational Baylor Iowa State
Q1 S&P 0.653 0.449
Q2 S&P 0.621 0.206
Q3 S&P 0.661 0.546
Q4 S&P 0.439 0.688
1st Down S&P 0.645 0.442
2nd Down S&P 0.633 0.381
3rd Down S&P 0.376 0.620
Projected Scoring Margin: Baylor by 20.8
Actual Scoring Margin: Baylor by 21

Iowa State figured some things out in the second half, but that only does so much for you when you're down 35-7 at half.

Baylor's rolling once again. The offense isn't quite at last year's level, but the defense is better despite a decent amount of turnover. Stiffer tests await soon enough, but we shouldn't overlook the fact that a) Iowa State nearly beat Kansas State and did beat Iowa, and b) Baylor was up 35-7 at half in Ames. That's a top-10 caliber result right there.

Oh yeah, and...

...fun.