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Texas A&M 35, Arkansas 28
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Arkansas | Texas A&M | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 74 | 68 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 27.6 | 29.7 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 15 | 15 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.00 | 5.00 | 4.72 |
| Leverage Rate** | 70.3% | 66.2% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.525 | 0.585 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Arkansas | Texas A&M | |
| Total | 30.1 | 34.2 | |
| Rushing | 19.6 | 7.9 | |
| Passing | 10.5 | 26.3 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Arkansas | Texas A&M | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 40.5% | 45.6% | 42.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 42.6% | 48.2% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 37.0% | 43.9% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 50.0% | 53.3% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 18.2% | 30.4% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Arkansas | Texas A&M | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.00 | 1.10 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.98 | 0.61 | 0.72 |
| Passing (close) | 1.05 | 1.46 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.82 | 0.89 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 2.19 | 1.83 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Arkansas | Texas A&M | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.01 | 3.44 | 2.90 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Arkansas | Texas A&M |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 4.0 | 0.7 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Texas A&M +0.21 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Arkansas +0.21 | |
| TO Points Margin | Texas A&M +3.2 points | |
| Situational | Arkansas | Texas A&M |
| Q1 S&P | 0.620 | 0.464 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.673 | 0.603 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.561 | 0.418 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.329 | 0.782 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.456 | 0.591 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.400 | 0.701 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.819 | 0.353 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Texas A&M by 7.3 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Texas A&M by 7 | ||
Staying on schedule is going to be incredibly important for Arkansas this year. The Hogs' offense is in complete control on standard downs, when the offense has to account for the pass, but on passing downs against the Aggies, they either made ineffectual runs or ineffective passes. Arkansas is still limited, but the Hogs are maximizing the effect of their one true strength (rushing), which is both impressive and scary. If they ever shore up those weaknesses...
Meanwhile, kudos to A&M for closing out drives defensively when it had the chance and for coming back late with some young personnel. A growing experience for both teams here.