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Akron 21, Pittsburgh 10
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Akron | Pittsburgh | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 71 | 74 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 27.8 | 21.8 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 13 | 11 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 4 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.20 | 2.50 | 4.72 |
| Leverage Rate** | 64.8% | 71.6% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.489 | 0.455 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Akron | Pittsburgh | |
| Total | 22.7 | 17.5 | |
| Rushing | 11.0 | 6.7 | |
| Passing | 11.7 | 10.8 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Akron | Pittsburgh | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 42.3% | 43.2% | 42.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 47.1% | 40.5% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 37.8% | 46.0% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 50.0% | 47.2% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 28.0% | 33.3% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Akron | Pittsburgh | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.76 | 0.55 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.69 | 0.44 | 0.72 |
| Passing (close) | 0.84 | 0.64 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.80 | 0.41 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.63 | 1.02 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Akron | Pittsburgh | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.21 | 3.11 | 2.90 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 8.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Akron | Pittsburgh |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 4.6 | 8.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Akron +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Akron +0.58 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Akron +0.42 | |
| TO Points Margin | Akron +3.3 points | |
| Situational | Akron | Pittsburgh |
| Q1 S&P | 0.274 | 0.391 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.525 | 0.499 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.571 | 0.435 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.550 | 0.481 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.544 | 0.518 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.400 | 0.387 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.497 | 0.427 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Akron by 8.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Akron by 11 | ||
So basically, Akron pinned Pitt deep, minimized big-play damage, made stops when Pitt had opportunities, and forced someone other than James Conner to win the game for Pitt ... and nobody could.
(And I'm not saying the gold chrome helmets pushed you over the top, Akron, but you might want to wear them every game just in case.)