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Study Hall: Akron 21, Pitt 10

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Akron 21, Pittsburgh 10

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Akron Pittsburgh Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 71 74
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 27.8 21.8 29.8
Possessions 13 11
Scoring Opportunities*
5 4
Points Per Opportunity 4.20 2.50 4.72
Leverage Rate** 64.8% 71.6% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.489 0.455 0.507
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Akron Pittsburgh
Total 22.7 17.5
Rushing 11.0 6.7
Passing 11.7 10.8
Success Rate (what's this?) Akron Pittsburgh Nat'l Avg
All (close) 42.3% 43.2% 42.1%
Rushing (close) 47.1% 40.5% 43.4%
Passing (close) 37.8% 46.0% 40.8%
Standard Downs 50.0% 47.2% 47.5%
Passing Downs 28.0% 33.3% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Akron Pittsburgh Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.76 0.55 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.69 0.44 0.72
Passing (close) 0.84 0.64 0.99
Standard Downs 0.80 0.41 0.77
Passing Downs 0.63 1.02 1.13
Line Stats Akron Pittsburgh Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.21 3.11 2.90
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 8.3% 8.7% 4.5%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 7.1% 7.3%
Turnovers Akron Pittsburgh
Turnovers 1 2
Turnover Points (what's this?) 4.6 8.0
Turnover Margin Akron +1
Exp. TO Margin Akron +0.58
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Akron +0.42
TO Points Margin Akron +3.3 points
Situational Akron Pittsburgh
Q1 S&P 0.274 0.391
Q2 S&P 0.525 0.499
Q3 S&P 0.571 0.435
Q4 S&P 0.550 0.481
1st Down S&P 0.544 0.518
2nd Down S&P 0.400 0.387
3rd Down S&P 0.497 0.427
Projected Scoring Margin: Akron by 8.6
Actual Scoring Margin: Akron by 11

So basically, Akron pinned Pitt deep, minimized big-play damage, made stops when Pitt had opportunities, and forced someone other than James Conner to win the game for Pitt ... and nobody could.

(And I'm not saying the gold chrome helmets pushed you over the top, Akron, but you might want to wear them every game just in case.)