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Oklahoma State 45, Texas Tech 35
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 73 | 91 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 97.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.2 | 27.4 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 16 | 16 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.62 | 5.00 | 4.72 |
| Leverage Rate** | 74.0% | 56.0% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.582 | 0.499 | 0.507 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | |
| Total | 37.5 | 33.1 | |
| Rushing | 10.2 | 6.4 | |
| Passing | 27.3 | 26.7 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 42.5% | 40.7% | 42.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 42.5% | 45.8% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 42.4% | 38.7% | 40.8% |
| Standard Downs | 48.2% | 45.1% | 47.5% |
| Passing Downs | 26.3% | 34.3% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.21 | 0.87 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.60 | 0.49 | 0.72 |
| Passing (close) | 1.95 | 1.04 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.88 | 0.75 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 2.92 | 1.09 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.79 | 3.21 | 2.90 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 8.3% | 3.3% | 7.3% |
| Turnovers | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 3 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 8.6 | 11.9 |
| Turnover Margin | Oklahoma State +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Oklahoma State +1.83 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Texas Tech +0.83 | |
| TO Points Margin | Oklahoma State +3.3 points | |
| Situational | Oklahoma State | Texas Tech |
| Q1 S&P | 0.626 | 0.485 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.655 | 0.468 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.624 | 0.785 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.380 | 0.346 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.482 | 0.547 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.580 | 0.691 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.487 | 0.485 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Oklahoma State by 7.7 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Oklahoma State by 10 | ||
Stats vs. eyeballs: Watching this game, I came away with some pretty shaky conclusions about OSU quarterback Daxx Garman. He throws pretty lobs to the sideline, and that came in extremely handy, but his reads seemed questionable at times, and he made quite a few mistakes.
Meanwhile, because of the sideline lobs, his stat line was pretty incredible: 17-for-31, 370 yards, four touchdowns, two interceptions, two sacks, 10.9 yards per pass attempt (inc. sacks).
Basically, Garman struggled when OSU fell behind schedule, but the Pokes' big pass plays were so big that it didn't matter. Hard to rely on that, though. Actually, it's pretty easy to rely on that not working very often.