Week 5 Win Probability charts

Each week I provide In-Game Win Probability Graphs from the past week. You can read more about Model Accuracy and Development here.

Texas A&M vs Arkansas

Currently my model does not account for Overtime. The last dot that brings Texas A&M's Win Probability to 1 is manually imputed, so they really ended regulation with a 50/50 shot of winning, which is about the odds of any team winning overtime; give or take a couple percentage points for team strength.

Missouri at South Carolina

South Carolina really had an epic collapse here.

Florida State at NC State

Stanford at Washington

Tennessee at UGA

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State

Washington St at Utah

What happened in this game?

UTEP at Kansas State

Colorado at Cal

If there are any more you would like to see then feel free to request some in the comments.