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Week 5 Win Probability charts

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Win Probability Charts from this week's wildest and biggest games.

Each week I provide In-Game Win Probability Graphs from the past week. You can read more about Model Accuracy and Development here.

Texas A&M vs Arkansas

Currently my model does not account for Overtime. The last dot that brings Texas A&M's Win Probability to 1 is manually imputed, so they really ended regulation with a 50/50 shot of winning, which is about the odds of any team winning overtime; give or take a couple percentage points for team strength.

Tamarkwp_medium

Missouri at South Carolina

South Carolina really had an epic collapse here.

Uscmzwp_medium

Florida State at NC State

Ncstfsuwp_medium

Stanford at Washington

Wustanwp_medium

Tennessee at UGA

Ugatnwp_medium

Texas Tech at Oklahoma State

Ttoksu_medium

Washington St at Utah

What happened in this game?

Wsuut_medium

UTEP at Kansas State

Utepkst_medium

Colorado at Cal

Calcu_medium

If there are any more you would like to see then feel free to request some in the comments.