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Study Hall: Oregon 38, Washington State 31

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William Mancebo

Oregon 38, Washington State 31

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Oregon Washington State Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 67 80
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 28.8 27.2 29.9
Possessions 13 11
Scoring Opportunities*
8 9
Points Per Opportunity 4.75 3.44 4.74
Leverage Rate** 70.2% 71.3% 68.5%
Close S&P*** 0.594 0.520 0.494
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Oregon Washington State
Total 34.7 32.1
Rushing 10.2 3.7
Passing 24.5 28.4
Success Rate (what's this?) Oregon Washington State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 46.3% 40.0% 38.1%
Rushing (close) 48.6% 31.3% 37.7%
Passing (close) 43.8% 42.2% 38.5%
Standard Downs 48.9% 43.9% 42.6%
Passing Downs 40.0% 30.4% 28.4%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Oregon Washington State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.12 1.00 0.95
Rushing (close) 0.60 0.73 0.84
Passing (close) 1.75 1.05 1.06
Standard Downs 1.01 1.13 0.87
Passing Downs 1.44 0.56 1.22
Line Stats Oregon Washington State Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.52 3.17 2.89
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 15.0% 0.0% 4.5%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 33.3% 5.0% 7.2%
Turnovers Oregon Washington State
Turnovers 0 2
Turnover Points (what's this?) 0.0 8.1
Turnover Margin Oregon +2
Exp. TO Margin Oregon +1.61
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Oregon +0.39
TO Points Margin Oregon +8.1 points
Situational Oregon Washington State
Q1 S&P 0.396 0.482
Q2 S&P 0.472 0.300
Q3 S&P 0.531 0.334
Q4 S&P 0.470 0.536
1st Down S&P 0.425 0.397
2nd Down S&P 0.544 0.500
3rd Down S&P 0.401 0.259
Projected Scoring Margin: Oregon by 10.8
Actual Scoring Margin: Oregon by 7

As I mentioned earlier this week, Oregon recovered all three of the game's fumbles (one of theirs, two of Wazzu's), and that basically made the difference in the game. Connor Halliday basically battled Marcus Mariota to a draw (what's with those sacks, Marcus?), but turnovers gave the Ducks the edge.