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Nebraska 41, Miami 31
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Miami | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 65 | 67 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 89.4% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 28.7 | 32.4 | 29.9 |
| Possessions | 10 | 10 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.17 | 4.86 | 4.74 |
| Leverage Rate** | 63.1% | 89.6% | 68.5% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.576 | 0.582 | 0.494 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Miami | Nebraska | |
| Total | 28.8 | 29.9 | |
| Rushing | 5.4 | 20.8 | |
| Passing | 23.4 | 9.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Miami | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 49.0% | 50.8% | 38.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 50.0% | 50.0% | 37.7% |
| Passing (close) | 48.5% | 53.9% | 38.5% |
| Standard Downs | 48.8% | 48.3% | 42.6% |
| Passing Downs | 50.0% | 71.4% | 28.4% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Miami | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.92 | 0.88 | 0.95 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.60 | 0.77 | 0.84 |
| Passing (close) | 1.10 | 1.30 | 1.06 |
| Standard Downs | 0.79 | 0.84 | 0.87 |
| Passing Downs | 1.46 | 1.11 | 1.22 |
| Line Stats | Miami | Nebraska | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.33 | 4.24 | 2.89 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 3.9% | 0.0% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% |
| Turnovers | Miami | Nebraska |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 19.1 | 6.4 |
| Turnover Margin | Nebraska +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | +0 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Nebraska +1.0 | |
| TO Points Margin | Nebraska +12.7 points | |
| Situational | Miami | Nebraska |
| Q1 S&P | 0.590 | 0.448 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.410 | 0.512 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.554 | 0.560 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.316 | 0.444 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.458 | 0.415 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.564 | 0.581 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.345 | 0.571 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Nebraska by 13.8 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Nebraska by 10 | ||
Ameer Abdullah was amazing, but Nebraska needed turnovers to pull/stay ahead in this one. Miami averaged a healthy 5.2 yards per scoring opportunity but still managed to turn the ball over three times in Nebraska territory. This was almost a Michigan-level "look good but crumble at just the right times" performance from Miami ... but at least the Hurricanes can blame some of that on having a freshman quarterback.