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Study Hall: South Carolina 48, Vandy 34

Christopher Hanewinckel-USA TODAY Sports

South Carolina 48, Vanderbilt 34

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Basics South Carolina Vanderbilt Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 68 55
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 96.7%
Avg Starting FP 32.6 27.9 29.9
Possessions 12 10
Scoring Opportunities*
7 5
Points Per Opportunity 5.86 4.00 4.74
Leverage Rate** 67.7% 63.6% 68.5%
Close S&P*** 0.562 0.450 0.494
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) South Carolina Vanderbilt
Total 31.3 21.1
Rushing 14.2 7.6
Passing 17.1 13.5
Success Rate (what's this?) South Carolina Vanderbilt Nat'l Avg
All (close) 44.1% 33.3% 38.1%
Rushing (close) 51.5% 41.4% 37.7%
Passing (close) 37.1% 22.7% 38.5%
Standard Downs 47.8% 40.0% 42.6%
Passing Downs 36.4% 18.8% 28.4%
IsoPPP (what's this?) South Carolina Vanderbilt Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.04 0.91 0.95
Rushing (close) 0.84 0.63 0.84
Passing (close) 1.31 1.59 1.06
Standard Downs 1.11 0.71 0.87
Passing Downs 0.86 1.89 1.22
Line Stats South Carolina Vanderbilt Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.44 3.59 2.89
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 12.5% 4.5%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 5.0% 0.0% 7.2%
Turnovers South Carolina Vanderbilt
Turnovers 1 2
Turnover Points (what's this?) 4.3 13.8
Turnover Margin South Carolina +1
Exp. TO Margin Vanderbilt +0.51
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) South Carolina +1.51
TO Points Margin South Carolina +9.5 points
Situational South Carolina Vanderbilt
Q1 S&P 0.160 0.324
Q2 S&P 0.452 0.319
Q3 S&P 0.436 0.443
Q4 S&P 0.613 0.461
1st Down S&P 0.399 0.428
2nd Down S&P 0.471 0.329
3rd Down S&P 0.527 0.345
Projected Scoring Margin: South Carolina by 19.8
Actual Scoring Margin: South Carolina by 14

Turnovers and some world-class drive-finishing ability allowed SC to overcome two kick return touchdowns and win. And honestly, I don't feel quite as shaky about the Gamecocks' defense as I did before seeing this. Vandy averaged 6.9 yards per play, and that's way too much for anybody to be giving up to Vandy, But five plays accounted for 44 percent of the Commodores' yardage totals, and VU still couldn't throw the ball with any consistency. Without the kick returns, this game is put to bed much earlier.