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Oklahoma 45, West Virginia 33
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Oklahoma | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 76 | 81 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 94.9% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 28.5 | 29.3 | 29.9 |
| Possessions | 15 | 15 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.43 | 5.67 | 4.74 |
| Leverage Rate** | 75.0% | 63.0% | 68.5% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.542 | 0.491 | 0.494 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Oklahoma | West Virginia | |
| Total | 34.0 | 32.3 | |
| Rushing | 22.8 | 11.2 | |
| Passing | 11.2 | 21.1 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Oklahoma | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 39.5% | 35.6% | 38.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 41.3% | 28.1% | 37.7% |
| Passing (close) | 36.7% | 41.5% | 38.5% |
| Standard Downs | 45.6% | 39.2% | 42.6% |
| Passing Downs | 21.1% | 27.3% | 28.4% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oklahoma | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.13 | 1.03 | 0.95 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.20 | 0.80 | 0.84 |
| Passing (close) | 1.02 | 1.15 | 1.06 |
| Standard Downs | 1.10 | 0.94 | 0.87 |
| Passing Downs | 1.37 | 1.31 | 1.22 |
| Line Stats | Oklahoma | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.56 | 3.23 | 2.89 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 12.0% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 7.2% |
| Turnovers | Oklahoma | West Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 3 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 2.6 | 8.0 |
| Turnover Margin | Oklahoma +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Oklahoma +0.66 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Oklahoma +1.34 | |
| TO Points Margin | Oklahoma +5.4 points | |
| Situational | Oklahoma | West Virginia |
| Q1 S&P | 0.215 | 0.436 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.536 | 0.370 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.470 | 0.240 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.435 | 0.553 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.508 | 0.385 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.307 | 0.415 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.323 | 0.464 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Oklahoma by 7.2 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Oklahoma by 12 | ||
A closer projection than I expected, honestly, until I remembered OU's kick return touchdown. Add that, and you basically get the final margin. OU needed turnovers to keep its distance in the second half, but ... damn, that running game.
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