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Utah 26, Michigan 10
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Michigan | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 75 | 64 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 25.9 | 35.9 | 29.9 |
| Possessions | 12 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
3 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 1.00 | 3.17 | 4.74 |
| Leverage Rate** | 56.0% | 64.1% | 68.5% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.360 | 0.399 | 0.494 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Michigan | Utah | |
| Total | 13.2 | 15.9 | |
| Rushing | 6.1 | 5.7 | |
| Passing | 7.2 | 10.2 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Michigan | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 30.7% | 25.0% | 38.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 40.6% | 20.6% | 37.7% |
| Passing (close) | 23.3% | 30.0% | 38.5% |
| Standard Downs | 40.5% | 24.4% | 42.6% |
| Passing Downs | 18.2% | 26.1% | 28.4% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Michigan | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.58 | 1.00 | 0.95 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.47 | 0.82 | 0.84 |
| Passing (close) | 0.72 | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Standard Downs | 0.38 | 0.43 | 0.87 |
| Passing Downs | 1.14 | 1.93 | 1.22 |
| Line Stats | Michigan | Utah | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.93 | 2.07 | 2.89 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 15.8% | 14.3% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% |
| Turnovers | Michigan | Utah |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 4 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 16.5 | 6.6 |
| Turnover Margin | Utah +3 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Utah +2.2 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Utah +0.8 | |
| TO Points Margin | Utah +9.9 points | |
| Situational | Michigan | Utah |
| Q1 S&P | 0.288 | 0.207 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.262 | 0.184 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.346 | 0.520 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.222 | 0.179 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.260 | 0.220 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.167 | 0.239 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.410 | 0.306 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Utah by 12.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Utah by 16 | ||
Four turnovers and 1.0 points per scoring opportunity. That's how you take something decent and make it awful. There will never be an Adjusted Belief Index (ABI), but let's just say that if there were such a thing, Michigan would be 128th out of 128. Watching them is watching a team that knows a mistake is about to happen.