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Arizona 49, California 45
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Arizona | California | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 106 | 72 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 91.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 34.7 | 25.7 | 29.9 |
| Possessions | 18 | 17 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
11 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.64 | 5.62 | 4.74 |
| Leverage Rate** | 56.6% | 70.8% | 68.5% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.516 | 0.604 | 0.494 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Arizona | California | |
| Total | 41.0 | 39.3 | |
| Rushing | 6.4 | 16.3 | |
| Passing | 34.6 | 23.0 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Arizona | California | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 41.9% | 40.6% | 38.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 46.2% | 34.2% | 37.7% |
| Passing (close) | 40.3% | 48.4% | 38.5% |
| Standard Downs | 50.0% | 45.1% | 42.6% |
| Passing Downs | 27.3% | 27.8% | 28.4% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Arizona | California | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.90 | 1.40 | 0.95 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.50 | 1.24 | 0.84 |
| Passing (close) | 1.08 | 1.53 | 1.06 |
| Standard Downs | 0.79 | 1.25 | 0.87 |
| Passing Downs | 1.27 | 2.09 | 1.22 |
| Line Stats | Arizona | California | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.21 | 2.69 | 2.89 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 3.3% | 16.7% | 7.2% |
| Turnovers | Arizona | California |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 6.6 | 11.5 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Arizona +1.02 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | California +1.02 | |
| TO Points Margin | Arizona +4.9 points | |
| Situational | Arizona | California |
| Q1 S&P | 0.091 | 0.467 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.382 | 0.454 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.417 | 0.166 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.644 | 0.576 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.380 | 0.454 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.489 | 0.417 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.279 | 0.371 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Arizona by 6.7 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Arizona by 4 | ||
I always like taking absurd, ridiculous, obnoxiously crazy games and turning them into a set of numbers. This thing was all sorts of even on paper, though look at the quarter-to-quarter offensive improvement for Arizona...
But just so it doesn't get too sterile....
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