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Florida State 23, Clemson 17
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Clemson | Florida State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 73 | 66 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.9 | 28.7 | 29.9 |
| Possessions | 15 | 15 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 5 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 2.12 | 4.80 | 4.74 |
| Leverage Rate** | 68.5% | 59.1% | 68.5% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.460 | 0.442 | 0.494 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Clemson | Florida State | |
| Total | 23.3 | 19.6 | |
| Rushing | 6.5 | 5.7 | |
| Passing | 16.8 | 13.9 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Clemson | Florida State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 34.3% | 31.8% | 38.1% |
| Rushing (close) | 25.6% | 27.3% | 37.7% |
| Passing (close) | 44.1% | 34.1% | 38.5% |
| Standard Downs | 30.0% | 41.0% | 42.6% |
| Passing Downs | 43.5% | 18.5% | 28.4% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Clemson | Florida State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.93 | 0.94 | 0.95 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.65 | 0.95 | 0.84 |
| Passing (close) | 1.12 | 0.93 | 1.06 |
| Standard Downs | 0.79 | 0.66 | 0.87 |
| Passing Downs | 1.14 | 1.82 | 1.22 |
| Line Stats | Clemson | Florida State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 1.93 | 1.90 | 2.89 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 13.6% | 4.5% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% |
| Turnovers | Clemson | Florida State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 5.0 | 7.4 |
| Turnover Margin | Clemson +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Clemson +0.59 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Clemson +0.41 | |
| TO Points Margin | Clemson +2.4 points | |
| Situational | Clemson | Florida State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.287 | 0.207 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.323 | 0.061 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.413 | 0.525 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.426 | 0.329 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.320 | 0.348 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.404 | 0.318 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.295 | 0.241 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Clemson by 6.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Florida State by 6 | ||
So Clemson should have won by six but lost by six ... I wonder why that could have been ... [exaggeratedly points directly at Points Per Opportunity] ... nope ... no idea whatsoever.
I'll say this for FSU: the 'Noles slammed the door like a champion. They should have lost ... they should have been down double digits in the fourth quarter ... but they weren't. And while it took them more than 60 minutes to find an opportunity to put the game away, when they got it, they did it. Eddie Goldman was amazing, Rashad Greene was Rashad Greene, and that was somehow enough.
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