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Marshall 26, Louisiana Tech 23
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Louisiana Tech | Marshall | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 65 | 81 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 35.5 | 38.0 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 17 | 17 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.80 | 3.25 | 4.65 |
| Leverage Rate** | 66.2% | 58.0% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.421 | 0.446 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Louisiana Tech | Marshall | |
| Total | 18.0 | 23.8 | |
| Rushing | 15.4 | 7.2 | |
| Passing | 2.6 | 16.5 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Louisiana Tech | Marshall | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 27.7% | 34.6% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 32.6% | 21.2% | 43.2% |
| Passing (close) | 18.2% | 43.8% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 34.9% | 42.6% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 13.6% | 23.5% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Louisiana Tech | Marshall | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.00 | 0.85 | 0.86 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.10 | 1.03 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 0.64 | 0.79 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 1.00 | 0.82 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.98 | 0.92 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Louisiana Tech | Marshall | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.83 | 2.22 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 15.4% | 4.0% | 7.7% |
| Turnovers | Louisiana Tech | Marshall |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 4 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 7.8 | 17.1 |
| Turnover Margin | Louisiana Tech +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Louisiana Tech +2.19 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Marshall +0.19 | |
| TO Points Margin | Louisiana Tech +9.3 points | |
| Situational | Louisiana Tech | Marshall |
| Q1 S&P | 0.536 | 0.424 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.401 | 0.494 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.404 | 0.343 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.372 | 0.544 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.566 | 0.365 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.325 | 0.552 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.284 | 0.429 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Louisiana Tech by 3.5 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Marshall by 3 | ||
Marshall won the field position and success rate battles and created three more scoring opportunities than Louisiana Tech. But the Herd blew some of those opportunities and, for the second straight week, gave away tons of possessions with turnovers. And then they won anyway. It doesn't have to be pretty (thankfully).