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Study Hall: Marshall 26, Louisiana Tech 23

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Marshall 26, Louisiana Tech 23

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Louisiana Tech Marshall Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 65 81
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 35.5 38.0 30.0
Possessions 17 17
Scoring Opportunities*
5 8
Points Per Opportunity 4.80 3.25 4.65
Leverage Rate** 66.2% 58.0% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.421 0.446 0.506
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Louisiana Tech Marshall
Total 18.0 23.8
Rushing 15.4 7.2
Passing 2.6 16.5
Success Rate (what's this?) Louisiana Tech Marshall Nat'l Avg
All (close) 27.7% 34.6% 41.8%
Rushing (close) 32.6% 21.2% 43.2%
Passing (close) 18.2% 43.8% 40.3%
Standard Downs 34.9% 42.6% 47.0%
Passing Downs 13.6% 23.5% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Louisiana Tech Marshall Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.00 0.85 0.86
Rushing (close) 1.10 1.03 0.74
Passing (close) 0.64 0.79 0.99
Standard Downs 1.00 0.82 0.77
Passing Downs 0.98 0.92 1.13
Line Stats Louisiana Tech Marshall Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.83 2.22 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 4.4% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 15.4% 4.0% 7.7%
Turnovers Louisiana Tech Marshall
Turnovers 2 4
Turnover Points (what's this?) 7.8 17.1
Turnover Margin Louisiana Tech +2
Exp. TO Margin Louisiana Tech +2.19
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Marshall +0.19
TO Points Margin Louisiana Tech +9.3 points
Situational Louisiana Tech Marshall
Q1 S&P 0.536 0.424
Q2 S&P 0.401 0.494
Q3 S&P 0.404 0.343
Q4 S&P 0.372 0.544
1st Down S&P 0.566 0.365
2nd Down S&P 0.325 0.552
3rd Down S&P 0.284 0.429
Projected Scoring Margin: Louisiana Tech by 3.5
Actual Scoring Margin: Marshall by 3

Marshall won the field position and success rate battles and created three more scoring opportunities than Louisiana Tech. But the Herd blew some of those opportunities and, for the second straight week, gave away tons of possessions with turnovers. And then they won anyway. It doesn't have to be pretty (thankfully).