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Boise State 28, Fresno State 14
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Boise State | Fresno State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 49 | 87 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 69.1% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 25.5 | 29.7 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 11 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
3 | 5 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 7.00 | 2.80 | 4.65 |
| Leverage Rate** | 70.5% | 48.0% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.555 | 0.346 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Boise State | Fresno State | |
| Total | 20.5 | 21.7 | |
| Rushing | 12.5 | 5.3 | |
| Passing | 8.0 | 16.4 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Boise State | Fresno State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 40.9% | 20.0% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 46.4% | 10.0% | 43.2% |
| Passing (close) | 31.3% | 26.7% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 45.2% | 16.7% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 30.8% | 23.1% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Boise State | Fresno State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.14 | 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.96 | 0.54 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 1.60 | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 1.06 | 1.10 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.42 | 0.81 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Boise State | Fresno State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.05 | 1.41 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 12.5% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 14.3% | 7.7% |
| Turnovers | Boise State | Fresno State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 0 | 3 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 0.0 | 16.8 |
| Turnover Margin | Boise State +3 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Boise State +1.03 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Boise State +1.97 | |
| TO Points Margin | Boise State +16.8 points | |
| Situational | Boise State | Fresno State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.666 | 0.372 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.569 | 0.237 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.593 | 0.481 |
| Q4 S&P | N/A | 0.457 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.449 | 0.461 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.660 | 0.240 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.522 | 0.511 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Boise State by 15.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Boise State by 14 | ||
Weird game. I saw Boise State was up 21-0 early in the second, and I stopped paying attention for the most part. So did Boise State, apparently. Their last seven drives: three-and-out, three-and-out, touchdown, three-and-out, three-and-out, three-and-out, three-and-out. The Broncos had zero successful plays in the fourth quarter, but since Fresno State couldn't finish drives -- in five scoring opportunities, the Bulldogs scored twice, turned the ball over on downs once, missed a field goal, and threw an interception -- it didn't matter.
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