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Oklahoma State 38, Oklahoma 35
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 80 | 61 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 32.2 | 32.3 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 15 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 5 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.00 | 6.20 | 4.65 |
| Leverage Rate** | 71.3% | 65.6% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.509 | 0.551 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | |
| Total | 29.5 | 26.6 | |
| Rushing | 22.7 | 10.0 | |
| Passing | 6.8 | 16.6 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 41.3% | 44.3% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 41.0% | 54.2% | 43.2% |
| Passing (close) | 42.1% | 37.8% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 49.1% | 57.5% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 21.7% | 19.1% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.89 | 0.98 | 0.86 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.91 | 0.77 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 0.85 | 1.19 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.81 | 0.81 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.35 | 2.00 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.55 | 3.42 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 28.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% |
| Turnovers | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 4.3 | 2.8 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Oklahoma State +0.58 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Oklahoma +0.58 | |
| TO Points Margin | Oklahoma State +1.5 points | |
| Situational | Oklahoma | Oklahoma State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.583 | 0.645 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.702 | 0.554 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.357 | 0.288 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.446 | 0.699 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.474 | 0.595 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.562 | 0.515 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.523 | 0.567 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Oklahoma by 1.5 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Oklahoma State by 3 | ||
Honestly, I stopped paying attention when Zack Sanchez picked Mason Rudolph off with three minutes left. Then I saw the highlight.
Tyreek Hill had just fair caught a punt at the OSU 15, but OSU committed a running-into-the-kicker penalty. I guess I SORT of understand the logic of kicking again -- it'll kill another 10-15 seconds, and there's only a minute left. But Hill is a terrifying return man, and OSU still only had a minute to go 85 yards with no timeouts. From a risk management perspective, that's pretty close to even, I think. Still...
...damn. That's one hell of a way to (eventually) lose a game. Your star running back gets hurt, you blow a 14-point lead in the last five minutes, and you lose in OT. Oklahoma has lost four games this season, and pick sixes, punt returns, and missed chip-shot field goals have played prevalent roles. On paper, they've been about as good as projected. But that's not much consolation, I would assume.