Oklahoma State 38, Oklahoma 35
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|Basics||Oklahoma||Oklahoma State||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||32.2||32.3||30.0|
|Points Per Opportunity||5.00||6.20||4.65|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Oklahoma||Oklahoma State|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Oklahoma||Oklahoma State||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Oklahoma||Oklahoma State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Oklahoma||Oklahoma State||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.55||3.42||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||28.6%||4.8%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||6.3%||7.7%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||4.3||2.8|
|Exp. TO Margin||Oklahoma State +0.58|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Oklahoma +0.58|
|TO Points Margin||Oklahoma State +1.5 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.474||0.595|
|2nd Down S&P||0.562||0.515|
|3rd Down S&P||0.523||0.567|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Oklahoma by 1.5|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Oklahoma State by 3|
Honestly, I stopped paying attention when Zack Sanchez picked Mason Rudolph off with three minutes left. Then I saw the highlight.
Tyreek Hill had just fair caught a punt at the OSU 15, but OSU committed a running-into-the-kicker penalty. I guess I SORT of understand the logic of kicking again -- it'll kill another 10-15 seconds, and there's only a minute left. But Hill is a terrifying return man, and OSU still only had a minute to go 85 yards with no timeouts. From a risk management perspective, that's pretty close to even, I think. Still...
...damn. That's one hell of a way to (eventually) lose a game. Your star running back gets hurt, you blow a 14-point lead in the last five minutes, and you lose in OT. Oklahoma has lost four games this season, and pick sixes, punt returns, and missed chip-shot field goals have played prevalent roles. On paper, they've been about as good as projected. But that's not much consolation, I would assume.