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Baylor 38, Kansas State 27
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Baylor | Kansas State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 78 | 67 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 96.6% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 21.3 | 26.4 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 10 | 9 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.75 | 4.50 | 4.65 |
| Leverage Rate** | 85.9% | 80.6% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.677 | 0.570 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Baylor | Kansas State | |
| Total | 37.4 | 24.7 | |
| Rushing | 16.0 | 7.7 | |
| Passing | 21.5 | 17.0 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Baylor | Kansas State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 66.7% | 56.5% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 60.0% | 55.9% | 43.2% |
| Passing (close) | 72.1% | 57.1% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 68.7% | 60.0% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 54.6% | 41.7% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Baylor | Kansas State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.72 | 0.59 | 0.86 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.76 | 0.38 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 0.69 | 0.85 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.69 | 0.59 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.92 | 0.59 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Baylor | Kansas State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.45 | 2.66 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 28.6% | 20.0% | 7.7% |
| Turnovers | Baylor | Kansas State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 5.9 | 3.1 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Kansas State +0.07 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Baylor +0.07 | |
| TO Points Margin | Kansas State +2.8 points | |
| Situational | Baylor | Kansas State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.751 | 0.488 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.645 | 0.655 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.897 | 0.571 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.363 | 0.620 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.677 | 0.668 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.636 | 0.534 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.781 | 0.474 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Baylor by 9.9 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Baylor by 11 | ||
Damn, those are some massive success rates. It's a wonder this game didn't have 100 points instead of 65. But neither team was able to derive much of a field position advantage, and KSU was able to slow the game down and keep possessions at a minimum. At a Baylor-TCU pace, you'd have almost ended up with a Baylor-TCU type of score.