clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Study Hall: Baylor 38, Kansas State 27

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Baylor 38, Kansas State 27

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Baylor Kansas State Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 78 67
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 96.6%
Avg Starting FP 21.3 26.4 30.0
Possessions 10 9
Scoring Opportunities*
8 6
Points Per Opportunity 4.75 4.50 4.65
Leverage Rate** 85.9% 80.6% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.677 0.570 0.506
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Baylor Kansas State
Total 37.4 24.7
Rushing 16.0 7.7
Passing 21.5 17.0
Success Rate (what's this?) Baylor Kansas State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 66.7% 56.5% 41.8%
Rushing (close) 60.0% 55.9% 43.2%
Passing (close) 72.1% 57.1% 40.3%
Standard Downs 68.7% 60.0% 47.0%
Passing Downs 54.6% 41.7% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Baylor Kansas State Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.72 0.59 0.86
Rushing (close) 0.76 0.38 0.74
Passing (close) 0.69 0.85 0.99
Standard Downs 0.69 0.59 0.77
Passing Downs 0.92 0.59 1.13
Line Stats Baylor Kansas State Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.45 2.66 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 11.1% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 28.6% 20.0% 7.7%
Turnovers Baylor Kansas State
Turnovers 1 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 5.9 3.1
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin Kansas State +0.07
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Baylor +0.07
TO Points Margin Kansas State +2.8 points
Situational Baylor Kansas State
Q1 S&P 0.751 0.488
Q2 S&P 0.645 0.655
Q3 S&P 0.897 0.571
Q4 S&P 0.363 0.620
1st Down S&P 0.677 0.668
2nd Down S&P 0.636 0.534
3rd Down S&P 0.781 0.474
Projected Scoring Margin: Baylor by 9.9
Actual Scoring Margin: Baylor by 11

Damn, those are some massive success rates. It's a wonder this game didn't have 100 points instead of 65. But neither team was able to derive much of a field position advantage, and KSU was able to slow the game down and keep possessions at a minimum. At a Baylor-TCU pace, you'd have almost ended up with a Baylor-TCU type of score.