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Study Hall: Clemson 35, South Carolina 17

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Joshua S. Kelly-USA TODAY Sports

Clemson 35, South Carolina 17

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Basics Clemson South Carolina Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 61 74
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 83.7%
Avg Starting FP 25.3 34.2 30.0
Possessions 13 13
Scoring Opportunities*
6 7
Points Per Opportunity 5.83 2.43 4.66
Leverage Rate** 82.1% 59.6% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.636 0.406 0.506
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Clemson South Carolina
Total 31.7 20.9
Rushing 16.6 6.6
Passing 15.1 14.3
Success Rate (what's this?) Clemson South Carolina Nat'l Avg
All (close) 53.6% 33.3% 41.8%
Rushing (close) 54.1% 40.9% 43.3%
Passing (close) 52.6% 28.6% 40.3%
Standard Downs 54.4% 35.3% 47.0%
Passing Downs 50.0% 30.4% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Clemson South Carolina Nat'l Avg
All (close) 1.04 0.70 0.86
Rushing (close) 0.81 0.68 0.74
Passing (close) 1.50 0.71 0.99
Standard Downs 1.05 0.50 0.77
Passing Downs 0.96 1.04 1.14
Line Stats Clemson South Carolina Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.26 1.66 2.93
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 12.5% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 10.5% 7.6%
Turnovers Clemson South Carolina
Turnovers 1 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 5.2 4.1
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin Clemson +1.31
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) South Carolina +1.31
TO Points Margin South Carolina +1.1 points
Situational Clemson South Carolina
Q1 S&P 0.673 0.557
Q2 S&P 0.627 0.272
Q3 S&P 0.782 0.386
Q4 S&P 0.576 0.548
1st Down S&P 0.666 0.283
2nd Down S&P 0.596 0.535
3rd Down S&P 0.536 0.548
Projected Scoring Margin: Clemson by 9.7
Actual Scoring Margin: Clemson by 18

Most of the time, the Projected and Actual scoring margins at the bottom of these tables match up pretty well. When they don't, it's usually either a sign of funky special teams plays or a sign that someone didn't finish drives properly. South Carolina turned the ball over on downs from the Clemson 3 and 30 and missed a field goal from the Clemson 30. Like Auburn against Alabama, like ASU against Arizona, the 'Cocks created more scoring chances than their rivals but couldn't turn them into points. Kind of an important thing.