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Georgia Tech 30, Georgia 24
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Georgia | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 67 | 86 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.9 | 37.9 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 11 | 9 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.43 | 2.43 | 4.66 |
| Leverage Rate** | 73.1% | 72.1% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.511 | 0.561 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Georgia | Georgia Tech | |
| Total | 23.8 | 30.7 | |
| Rushing | 13.2 | 25.8 | |
| Passing | 10.6 | 4.9 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Georgia | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 43.3% | 53.5% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 37.8% | 60.0% | 43.3% |
| Passing (close) | 50.0% | 25.0% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 40.8% | 61.3% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 50.0% | 33.3% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Georgia | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.82 | 0.67 | 0.86 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.94 | 0.61 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 0.71 | 1.22 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.73 | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.02 | 0.62 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Georgia | Georgia Tech | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.65 | 3.73 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 5.9% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 7.7% | 0.0% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Georgia | Georgia Tech |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 19.0 | 18.8 |
| Turnover Margin | Georgia Tech +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Georgia Tech +0.51 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Georgia Tech +0.49 | |
| TO Points Margin | Georgia Tech +0.2 points | |
| Situational | Georgia | Georgia Tech |
| Q1 S&P | 0.592 | 0.318 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.491 | 0.511 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.431 | 0.632 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.503 | 0.628 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.455 | 0.534 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.509 | 0.595 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.412 | 0.527 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Georgia Tech by 7.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Georgia Tech by 6 | ||
It's funny looking at this and seeing the Projected Scoring Margin at the bottom basically saying "This game turned out as it should have," when nothing about this game made a particular amount of sense. Georgia Tech's offense played as well as advertised but suffered two crippling fumbles while either about to score or run the clock out. Georgia's offense ALSO suffered two near-the-end zone fumbles but still scored what had to be the game-winning touchdown with 18 seconds left. And then it wasn't the game-winning touchdown.
This was set up to be a gut-wrenching loss for whoever lost it. It is also going to end up on my Top 100 Games of the Season list.
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