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Arizona 42, Arizona State 35
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Arizona | Arizona State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 58 | 87 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 29.5 | 30.5 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 15 | 15 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
5 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 7.00 | 4.00 | 4.66 |
| Leverage Rate** | 62.1% | 64.4% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.534 | 0.467 | 0.506 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Arizona | Arizona State | |
| Total | 25.7 | 26.3 | |
| Rushing | 12.7 | 7.7 | |
| Passing | 13.0 | 18.7 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Arizona | Arizona State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 36.2% | 39.1% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 30.3% | 38.9% | 43.3% |
| Passing (close) | 44.0% | 39.2% | 40.3% |
| Standard Downs | 38.9% | 46.4% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 31.8% | 25.8% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Arizona | Arizona State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.22 | 0.77 | 0.86 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.27 | 0.55 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 1.18 | 0.93 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 1.47 | 0.60 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.73 | 1.34 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Arizona | Arizona State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 1.35 | 2.76 | 2.93 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 22.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 12.5% | 24.0% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Arizona | Arizona State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 11.1 | 11.8 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Arizona +0.59 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Arizona State +0.59 | |
| TO Points Margin | Arizona +0.7 points | |
| Situational | Arizona | Arizona State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.499 | 0.380 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.543 | 0.523 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.667 | 0.408 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.453 | 0.557 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.495 | 0.490 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.506 | 0.459 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.532 | 0.459 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Arizona by 0.1 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Arizona by 7 | ||
Like Auburn against Alabama, Arizona State created more scoring opportunities than Arizona did. And like Auburn, the Sun Devils failed just enough -- turnover on downs at the UA 2, missed field goal, end-of-game turnover on downs -- that it gave Arizona a window of opportunity. And like Auburn, ASU allowed touchdowns on every opponent scoring opportunity. Hard to win a division like that.