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Study Hall: TCU 48, Texas 10

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Brendan Maloney-USA TODAY Sports

TCU 48, Texas 10

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Basics TCU Texas Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 65 70
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 77.0%
Avg Starting FP 45.3 21.1 30.0
Possessions 14 17
Scoring Opportunities*
8 3
Points Per Opportunity 4.25 3.33 4.66
Leverage Rate** 64.6% 53.6% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.415 0.317 0.506
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) TCU Texas
Total 25.5 14.3
Rushing 10.4 5.0
Passing 15.2 9.3
Success Rate (what's this?) TCU Texas Nat'l Avg
All (close) 29.2% 26.8% 41.8%
Rushing (close) 21.1% 23.1% 43.3%
Passing (close) 34.5% 30.0% 40.3%
Standard Downs 35.5% 33.3% 47.0%
Passing Downs 17.7% 19.2% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) TCU Texas Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.91 0.52 0.86
Rushing (close) 0.60 0.66 0.74
Passing (close) 1.03 0.42 0.99
Standard Downs 0.93 0.39 0.77
Passing Downs 0.82 0.77 1.14
Line Stats TCU Texas Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.32 1.69 2.93
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 8.3% 6.3% 7.6%
Turnovers TCU Texas
Turnovers 2 6
Turnover Points (what's this?) 8.1 37.1
Turnover Margin TCU +4
Exp. TO Margin TCU +1.24
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) TCU +2.76
TO Points Margin TCU +29.0 points
Situational TCU Texas
Q1 S&P 0.276 0.200
Q2 S&P 0.505 0.462
Q3 S&P 0.419 0.235
Q4 S&P 0.697 0.612
1st Down S&P 0.457 0.247
2nd Down S&P 0.509 0.461
3rd Down S&P 0.580 0.381
Projected Scoring Margin: TCU by 40.2
Actual Scoring Margin: TCU by 38

This was the quintessential "tilt the field and wait" game. Tyrone Swoopes has taken some decent developmental steps this year, but he simply wasn't ready to do any damage against the TCU defense, especially with no hope for a run game. TCU's own offense was far from spectacular, needing a couple of jump-ball big plays to save the Frogs from woeful overall inefficiency. But the Texas O was hopeless, and even with a couple of blown opportunities, TCU knew it would eventually capitalize on its field position and Swoopes' mistakes.