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Good week!
| ATS | Week 10 | 2014 Season |
| "NEW" Method | 31-22-1 (58%) | 259-269-12 (49%) |
| "OLD" Method | 29-24-1 (55%) | 248-235-11 (51%) |
Really good week!
| Straight Up | Week 10 | 2014 Season |
| Teams with 50-60% chance of winning | 2-1 (67%) | 23-26 (47%) |
| Teams with 60-70% chance of winning | 10-6 (63%) | 81-56 (59%) |
| Teams with 70-80% chance of winning | 7-3 (70%) | 109-31 (78%) |
| Teams with 80-90% chance of winning | 11-2 (85%) | 124-24 (84%) |
| Teams with 90-100% chance of winning | 11-1 (92%) | 106-6 (95%) |
Naturally, MACtion is threatening to derail this week before it even begins. I swear, I must be at 10% on MAC games and 60% on everything else this year...
Week 11
I have yet to find the lines for two games -- South Alabama at Arkansas State and Marshall at Southern Miss. I will fill in the blanks below when I find them.
There are two FBS vs. FCS games this week, not included in the table below. Mississippi State is projected to beat UT Martin by 49.2 points (44.7-(-4.5)), and Ole Miss is projected to beat poor Presbyterian by a cool 75.5 points (66.6-(-8.9)). Yep.
(And yes, here's your weekly reminder that the score projections are clearly a little bit wacky and shouldn't be taken seriously. The margin is the key piece.)
| Day | Time (ET) | TV | Game | Spread | NEW Prediction | Chance of winning | NEW Pick | OLD Prediction | OLD Pick | Different? |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu | 7:30 PM | ESPN | Clemson at Wake Forest | 21 | Clemson by 44.1 (41.8 - -2.3) | 97.1% | Clemson | Clemson by 26.2 | Clemson | |
| Fri | 7:30 PM | ESPNU | Memphis at Temple | 7.5 | Memphis by 11.2 (25.2 - 14.0) | 71.0% | Memphis | Memphis by 6.0 | Temple | XXX |
| Fri | 8:00 PM | ESPN2 | Utah State at Wyoming | 6.5 | Utah State by 20.8 (33.4 - 12.7) | 83.3% | Utah State | Utah State by 12.7 | Utah State | |
| Day | Time (ET) | TV | Game | Spread | NEW Prediction | Chance of winning | NEW Pick | OLD Prediction | OLD Pick | Different? |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | FS1 | Baylor at Oklahoma | -5.5 | Oklahoma by 23.9 (54.4 - 30.5) | 81.2% | Oklahoma | Oklahoma by 12.4 | Oklahoma | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN | Georgia at Kentucky | 10 | Georgia by 25.8 (41.8 - 16.1) | 86.9% | Georgia | Georgia by 15.2 | Georgia | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPN2 | Iowa at Minnesota | 1.5 | Minnesota by 1.2 (17.8 - 16.6) | 57.4% | Minnesota | Minnesota by 1.2 | Minnesota | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | Louisiana Tech at UAB | 4 | Louisiana Tech by 15.2 (31.8 - 16.6) | 75.2% | Louisiana Tech | Louisiana Tech by 8.1 | Louisiana Tech | ||
| Sat | 12:00 PM | BTN | Penn State at Indiana | 6.5 | Penn State by 18.4 (31.9 - 13.5) | 78.9% | Penn State | Penn State by 10.1 | Penn State | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | CBSSN | SMU at Tulsa | -12.5 | Tulsa by 31.9 (44.9 - 13.0) | 89.5% | Tulsa | Tulsa by 18.1 | Tulsa | |
| Sat | 12:00 PM | UTSA at Rice | -9.5 | UTSA by 0.4 (30.2 - 29.8) | 56.3% | UTSA | Rice by 0.2 | UTSA | ||
| Sat | 12:00 PM | ESPNU | Wisconsin at Purdue | 17 | Wisconsin by 23.0 (35.3 - 12.4) | 84.3% | Wisconsin | Wisconsin by 13.4 | Purdue | XXX |
| Sat | 12:30 PM | ESPN3 | Duke at Syracuse | 3.5 | Duke by 26.3 (35.5 - 9.2) | 86.6% | Duke | Duke by 15.0 | Duke | |
| Sat | 12:30 PM | ESPN3 | Georgia Tech at NC State | 4 | Georgia Tech by 24.4 (57.3 - 32.9) | 85.2% | Georgia Tech | Georgia Tech by 14.0 | Georgia Tech | |
| Sat | 3:00 PM | ESPN3 | Georgia State at Troy | -6.5 | Georgia State by 1.2 (35.6 - 34.4) | 57.6% | Georgia State | Georgia State by 0.3 | Georgia State | |
| Sat | 3:00 PM | ESPN3 | South Alabama at Arkansas State | ??? | Arkansas State by 14.8 (32.6 - 17.8) | 73.6% | ??? | Arkansas State by 8.3 | ??? | |
| Day | Time (ET) | TV | Game | Spread | NEW Prediction | Chance of winning | NEW Pick | OLD Prediction | OLD Pick | Different? |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | CBSSN | Connecticut at Army | 4.5 | Connecticut by 11.0 (24.8 - 13.8) | 72.3% | Connecticut | Connecticut by 6.6 | Connecticut | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Florida International at Old Dominion | -4.5 | Florida International by 4.5 (31.6 - 27.0) | 62.8% | Florida International | Florida International by 2.4 | Florida International | ||
| Sat | 3:30 PM | Iowa State at Kansas | 3.5 | Iowa State by 16.9 (35.0 - 18.1) | 77.6% | Iowa State | Iowa State by 9.4 | Iowa State | ||
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPN2 | Michigan at Northwestern | 1.5 | Michigan by 1.3 (19.9 - 18.6) | 57.7% | Northwestern | Michigan by 0.3 | Northwestern | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ABC | Notre Dame at Arizona State | -2.5 | Arizona State by 6.2 (35.8 - 29.7) | 64.2% | Arizona State | Arizona State by 3.9 | Arizona State | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | CBS | Texas A&M at Auburn | -21.5 | Auburn by 62.2 (70.9 - 8.8) | 98.6% | Auburn | Auburn by 35.9 | Auburn | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPNU | Tulane at Houston | -17.5 | Houston by 25.4 (29.8 - 4.5) | 86.1% | Houston | Houston by 15.6 | Tulane | XXX |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | ESPN3 | UL-Monroe at Appalachian State | -3.5 | UL-Monroe by 8.6 (27.6 - 19.0) | 67.4% | UL-Monroe | UL-Monroe by 4.4 | UL-Monroe | |
| Sat | 3:30 PM | FS1 | West Virginia at Texas | 3.5 | West Virginia by 24.4 (34.6 - 10.2) | 82.9% | West Virginia | West Virginia by 12.5 | West Virginia | |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | Air Force at UNLV | 6 | Air Force by 37.8 (44.7 - 6.8) | 92.6% | Air Force | Air Force by 20.1 | Air Force | ||
| Sat | 4:00 PM | ESPN3 | Georgia Southern at Texas State | 12.5 | Georgia Southern by 34.6 (53.0 - 18.4) | 91.7% | Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern by 19.2 | Georgia Southern | |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | UTEP at Western Kentucky | -7 | Western Kentucky by 11.3 (42.1 - 30.8) | 70.7% | Western Kentucky | Western Kentucky by 6.8 | UTEP | XXX | |
| Sat | 4:00 PM | Pac-12 | Washington State at Oregon State | -7.5 | Oregon State by 11.1 (48.5 - 37.5) | 70.3% | Oregon State | Oregon State by 6.6 | Washington State | XXX |
| Sat | 6:30 PM | Idaho at San Diego State | -20.5 | San Diego State by 13.9 (39.3 - 25.4) | 73.8% | Idaho | San Diego State by 8.4 | Idaho | ||
| Sat | 6:30 PM | ESPN | Virginia at Florida State | -19 | Florida State by 34.6 (46.4 - 11.8) | 92.4% | Florida State | Florida State by 20.8 | Florida State | |
| Day | Time (ET) | TV | Game | Spread | NEW Prediction | Chance of winning | NEW Pick | OLD Prediction | OLD Pick | Different? |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | CBSSN | Boise State at New Mexico | 18 | Boise State by 35.0 (51.3 - 16.3) | 91.9% | Boise State | Boise State by 19.4 | Boise State | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Florida Atlantic at North Texas | 3.5 | Florida Atlantic by 14.6 (35.0 - 20.4) | 76.4% | Florida Atlantic | Florida Atlantic by 8.7 | Florida Atlantic | ||
| Sat | 7:00 PM | ESPNU | Hawaii at Colorado State | -17 | Colorado State by 43.7 (50.7 - 6.9) | 96.8% | Colorado State | Colorado State by 26.6 | Colorado State | |
| Sat | 7:00 PM | Marshall at Southern Miss | ??? | Marshall by 55.5 (55.0 - -0.4) | 98.6% | ??? | Marshall by 31.9 | ??? | ||
| Sat | 7:00 PM | FS1 | UCLA at Washington | 4.5 | UCLA by 29.1 (40.7 - 11.6) | 87.1% | UCLA | UCLA by 15.4 | UCLA | |
| Sat | 7:15 PM | ESPN2 | Louisville at Boston College | 3 | Louisville by 5.6 (25.7 - 20.1) | 63.7% | Louisville | Louisville by 2.8 | Boston College | XXX |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | SECN | Florida at Vanderbilt | 14.5 | Florida by 31.8 (32.3 - 0.5) | 92.1% | Florida | Florida by 19.6 | Florida | |
| Sat | 7:30 PM | Fox | Kansas State at TCU | -6 | TCU by 10.6 (31.2 - 20.7) | 69.5% | TCU | TCU by 6.3 | TCU | |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | CBS | Alabama at LSU | 6.5 | Alabama by 3.1 (30.1 - 27.0) | 60.2% | LSU | Alabama by 1.3 | LSU | |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | Pac-12 | Colorado at Arizona | -16.5 | Arizona by 45.2 (66.4 - 21.2) | 93.4% | Arizona | Arizona by 21.9 | Arizona | |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | ABC | Ohio State at Michigan State | -3.5 | Michigan State by 1.6 (30.9 - 29.3) | 57.8% | Ohio State | Michigan State by 1.3 | Ohio State | |
| Sat | 8:00 PM | ESPN3 | UL-Lafayette at New Mexico State | 16 | UL-Lafayette by 15.7 (48.6 - 32.9) | 75.7% | New Mexico State | UL-Lafayette by 8.4 | New Mexico State | |
| Sat | 10:00 PM | ESPN | Oregon at Utah | 8 | Oregon by 28.5 (42.0 - 13.4) | 87.6% | Oregon | Oregon by 15.7 | Oregon | |
| Sat | 10:30 PM | CBSSN | San Jose State at Fresno State | -2 | San Jose State by 11.7 (39.4 - 27.7) | 70.8% | San Jose State | San Jose State by 5.9 | San Jose State |
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