Iowa 48, Northwestern 7
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||48.6%|
|Avg Starting FP||32.3||30.8||29.8|
|Points Per Opportunity||5.86||3.50||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Iowa||Northwestern|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Iowa||Northwestern||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Iowa||Northwestern||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Iowa||Northwestern||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.22||2.56||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||25.0%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||18.2%||7.6%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||4.0||4.1|
|Exp. TO Margin||Northwestern +0.21|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Iowa +0.21|
|TO Points Margin||Iowa +0.2 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.472||0.288|
|2nd Down S&P||0.597||0.504|
|3rd Down S&P||0.732||0.243|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Iowa by 22.4|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Iowa by 41|
This Northwestern season has had an interesting flow to it. The Wildcats looked mostly awful for the first three weeks of the season, losing to Cal and NIU and sleepwalking past Western Illinois. Then they whipped Penn State, beat Wisconsin, and lost to Minnesota only via late kick return touchdown. They led Nebraska, 17-14, at halftime, too.
Last six quarters: Opponent 72, Northwestern 7.
Northwestern couldn't even pretend to pass the ball, and that pretty quickly made the difference in the game. Trevor Siemian was 8-for-18 for 68 yards and not only five sacks, but five sacks for a loss of 47 yards. That's 21 net passing yards in 23 attempts. Guh. Before garbage time, NU didn't convert a single passing down.