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Maryland 20, Penn State 19
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Maryland | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 68 | 83 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 36.7 | 30.3 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 18 | 17 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.33 | 3.17 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 60.3% | 63.9% | 68.2% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.398 | 0.331 | 0.505 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Maryland | Penn State | |
| Total | 13.9 | 13.0 | |
| Rushing | 5.3 | 3.4 | |
| Passing | 8.6 | 9.7 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Maryland | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 35.3% | 26.5% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 37.5% | 22.2% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 34.1% | 29.8% | 40.1% |
| Standard Downs | 56.1% | 30.2% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 3.7% | 20.0% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Maryland | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.58 | 0.59 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.59 | 0.42 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.57 | 0.69 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.55 | 0.54 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.30 | 0.74 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Maryland | Penn State | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 1.67 | 1.72 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 9.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 18.2% | 16.7% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Maryland | Penn State |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 4 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 8.1 | 14.8 |
| Turnover Margin | Maryland +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Maryland +0.66 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Maryland +1.34 | |
| TO Points Margin | Maryland +6.7 points | |
| Situational | Maryland | Penn State |
| Q1 S&P | 0.327 | 0.361 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.408 | 0.276 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.402 | 0.410 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.437 | 0.294 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.514 | 0.321 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.439 | 0.232 |
| 3rd Down S&P | -0.181 | 0.462 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Maryland by 7.6 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Maryland by 1 | ||
The footballs were greased in Pennsylvania on Saturday. Maryland and Penn State combined for eight fumbles, which actually pales in comparison to the 12 ECU and Temple managed across the state. But Maryland was a bit better at falling on the ball, and despite some tragicomic passing downs efficiency (3.7%!), the Terps came away with the win.
Poor Bob Shoop is seeing one of his better coaching efforts go to waste. The Penn State defense ranks ninth in Def. F/+, but the offense ranks 92nd, and PSU's special teams rank 112th, and the Nittany Lions are 4-4, losing the type of games they were winning at Vanderbilt. Vandy won five of its last six one-possession games under James Franklin; PSU's now lost three in a row after winning two in September.
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