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Study Hall: Arizona State 19, Utah 16

Ralph Freso

Arizona State 19, Utah 16

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Arizona State Utah Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 76 74
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 33.7 29.7 29.8
Possessions 14 14
Scoring Opportunities*
6 5
Points Per Opportunity 3.17 3.20 4.69
Leverage Rate** 69.7% 60.8% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.452 0.347 0.505
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Arizona State Utah
Total 22.6 13.5
Rushing 12.1 10.5
Passing 10.5 3.0
Success Rate (what's this?) Arizona State Utah Nat'l Avg
All (close) 35.5% 25.7% 41.8%
Rushing (close) 38.5% 26.5% 43.4%
Passing (close) 32.4% 24.0% 40.1%
Standard Downs 39.6% 33.3% 47.1%
Passing Downs 26.1% 13.8% 30.5%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Arizona State Utah Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.84 0.71 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.81 0.81 0.73
Passing (close) 0.88 0.49 0.99
Standard Downs 0.85 0.69 0.77
Passing Downs 0.81 0.78 1.14
Line Stats Arizona State Utah Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.77 3.04 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 4.6% 7.7% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 20.0% 16.7% 7.6%
Turnovers Arizona State Utah
Turnovers 2 0
Turnover Points (what's this?) 6.1 0.0
Turnover Margin Utah +2
Exp. TO Margin Utah +0.15
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Utah +1.85
TO Points Margin Utah +6.1 points
Situational Arizona State Utah
Q1 S&P 0.523 0.200
Q2 S&P 0.593 0.338
Q3 S&P 0.320 0.492
Q4 S&P 0.434 0.235
1st Down S&P 0.446 0.303
2nd Down S&P 0.582 0.402
3rd Down S&P 0.134 0.395
Projected Scoring Margin: Arizona State by 3.1
Actual Scoring Margin: Arizona State by 3

That Utah almost won a huge conference road game while averaging 3.3 yards per play is a strange, impressive backhanded achievement of sorts. The Utes got some turnover help, and ASU blew scoring opportunities as badly as they did, settling for five field goals to Utah's four. Both teams missed one FG, but Utah suffered its miss on a 35-yarder in OT. Ouch.