Temple 20, East Carolina 10
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|Basics||East Carolina||Temple||Nat'l Avg|
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||75.7%|
|Avg Starting FP||21.9||37.8||29.8|
|Points Per Opportunity||1.67||4.67||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||East Carolina||Temple|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||East Carolina||Temple||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||East Carolina||Temple||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||East Carolina||Temple||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||3.41||1.85||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||10.0%||0.0%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||8.3%||20.0%||7.6%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||27.0||0.0|
|Turnover Margin||Temple +5|
|Exp. TO Margin||Temple +2.85|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Temple +2.15|
|TO Points Margin||Temple +27.0 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.412||0.330|
|2nd Down S&P||0.512||0.307|
|3rd Down S&P||0.564||0.422|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Temple by 16.4|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Temple by 10|
Twelve fumbles! I realize the weather was sloppy and all, but ... 12 fumbles! And Temple recovered nine of them! Temple didn't convert a single passing down (while facing a TON of them) and won because ... 12 fumbles!
With that much turnovers luck and drastic advantages in terms of both field position and finishing drives, it's a wonder Temple didn't win by quite a bit more. That said, the Owls' defense more than played its part here -- they now rank a healthy 60th in Def. F/+ and 12th on special teams (while the offense serves as an anchor) -- and ... hey, good for Temple. The last couple of years were pretty trying, and the Owls are on the cusp of going bowling again.
Meanwhile, wow, what a costly win for ECU. Hard to imagine the Pirates getting the group of five's major bowl slot at this point. But when you fumble eight times in any weather, it's hard to say you deserved to survive...