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Auburn 35, Ole Miss 31
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Auburn | Ole Miss | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 68 | 70 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 26.3 | 26.9 | 29.8 |
| Possessions | 13 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.83 | 4.43 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 66.2% | 70.0% | 68.2% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.585 | 0.558 | 0.505 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Auburn | Ole Miss | |
| Total | 33.3 | 29.8 | |
| Rushing | 16.5 | 9.9 | |
| Passing | 16.9 | 19.9 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Auburn | Ole Miss | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 47.1% | 47.1% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 45.7% | 42.3% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 50.0% | 50.0% | 40.1% |
| Standard Downs | 51.1% | 53.1% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 39.1% | 33.3% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Auburn | Ole Miss | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.04 | 0.90 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.78 | 0.90 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 1.53 | 0.90 | 0.99 |
| Standard Downs | 0.93 | 0.88 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.32 | 0.99 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Auburn | Ole Miss | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.67 | 2.55 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 17.7% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Auburn | Ole Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 4.9 | 12.9 |
| Turnover Margin | Auburn +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Auburn +0.58 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Auburn +0.42 | |
| TO Points Margin | Auburn +8.0 points | |
| Situational | Auburn | Ole Miss |
| Q1 S&P | 0.561 | 0.495 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.606 | 0.566 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.703 | 0.570 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.489 | 0.627 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.578 | 0.656 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.585 | 0.460 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.604 | 0.510 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Auburn by 11.5 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Auburn by 4 | ||
Remarkably even game overall, with the teams producing identical success rates, Ole Miss creating one more scoring opportunity, and Auburn finishing opportunities better (i.e. not losing fumbles twice inside the 10). It's still a gut-wrenching way for Ole Miss to lose, but Auburn continues to prove itself as a very, very good team against a very, very tough schedule.
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