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Study Hall: UCLA 17, Arizona 7

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Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

UCLA 17, Arizona 7

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Arizona UCLA Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 79 85
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 100.0%
Avg Starting FP 18.9 30.3 29.8
Possessions 14 15
Scoring Opportunities*
3 4
Points Per Opportunity 2.33 4.25 4.69
Leverage Rate** 57.0% 68.2% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.323 0.467 0.505
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Arizona UCLA
Total 12.5 23.1
Rushing 3.7 13.1
Passing 8.7 10.0
Success Rate (what's this?) Arizona UCLA Nat'l Avg
All (close) 24.1% 42.4% 41.8%
Rushing (close) 25.0% 43.6% 43.4%
Passing (close) 23.5% 40.0% 40.1%
Standard Downs 28.9% 43.1% 47.1%
Passing Downs 17.7% 40.7% 30.5%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Arizona UCLA Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.66 0.64 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.53 0.55 0.73
Passing (close) 0.73 0.83 0.99
Standard Downs 0.69 0.69 0.77
Passing Downs 0.58 0.53 1.14
Line Stats Arizona UCLA Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.86 3.32 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 4.2% 5.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 7.4% 30.0% 7.6%
Turnovers Arizona UCLA
Turnovers 1 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 2.1 4.1
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin UCLA +1.25
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Arizona +1.25
TO Points Margin Arizona +2.0 points
Situational Arizona UCLA
Q1 S&P 0.391 0.442
Q2 S&P 0.265 0.421
Q3 S&P 0.363 0.654
Q4 S&P 0.293 0.291
1st Down S&P 0.389 0.498
2nd Down S&P 0.288 0.440
3rd Down S&P 0.289 0.477
Projected Scoring Margin: UCLA by 8.7
Actual Scoring Margin: UCLA by 10

I am completely and totally done trying to figure you out, UCLA. I'm just done. The numbers are starting to like you quite a bit (16th in F/+, ahead of Arizona State, Notre Dame, Louisville, etc.), and that's great. I don't rank you at all. There are 127 FBS teams, and there's UCLA floating around, playing like a completely different team every week! Good defense, bad offense! Great offense, bad defense! Okay offense, incredible defense! Destroy Arizona State, lose to Utah at home, try to lose to California, try to lose to Colorado, completely shut down Arizona.

Done.