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Wake Forest 6, Virginia Tech 3
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Virginia Tech | Wake Forest | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 68 | 74 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 30.6 | 35.7 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 15 | 15 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
4 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 0.75 | 0.86 | 4.64 |
| Leverage Rate** | 60.3% | 58.1% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.343 | 0.338 | 0.505 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Virginia Tech | Wake Forest | |
| Total | 9.3 | 11.0 | |
| Rushing | 5.7 | 4.5 | |
| Passing | 3.7 | 6.6 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Virginia Tech | Wake Forest | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 32.4% | 29.7% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 35.3% | 25.7% | 43.3% |
| Passing (close) | 29.4% | 33.3% | 40.2% |
| Standard Downs | 48.8% | 39.5% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 7.4% | 16.1% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Virginia Tech | Wake Forest | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.42 | 0.50 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.47 | 0.50 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 0.37 | 0.50 | 0.98 |
| Standard Downs | 0.41 | 0.42 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.60 | 0.76 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Virginia Tech | Wake Forest | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.27 | 2.03 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 11.1% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 26.3% | 23.8% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Virginia Tech | Wake Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 3 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 11.4 | 4.7 |
| Turnover Margin | Wake Forest +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Wake Forest +1.24 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Wake Forest +0.76 | |
| TO Points Margin | Wake Forest +6.7 points | |
| Situational | Virginia Tech | Wake Forest |
| Q1 S&P | 0.316 | 0.337 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.394 | 0.329 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.316 | 0.429 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.406 | 0.339 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.451 | 0.433 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.290 | 0.171 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.184 | 0.342 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Wake Forest by 8.4 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Wake Forest by 3 | ||
Including overtimes, there were 11 scoring opportunities in this game. On average, that would produce about 51 points. Slightly more than nine.
This game was special. Virginia Tech had 16 tackles for loss and lost. Wake Forest missed three field goals and won. I think I'll put this on my year-end Top 100 Games of 2014 list just to see if people are paying attention.
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