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Virginia 30, Miami 13
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Miami | Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 56 | 68 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 83.9% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 20.4 | 43.4 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 10 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
3 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 2.33 | 4.29 | 4.64 |
| Leverage Rate** | 69.8% | 77.0% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.419 | 0.526 | 0.505 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Miami | Virginia | |
| Total | 14.6 | 23.5 | |
| Rushing | 3.1 | 14.3 | |
| Passing | 11.5 | 9.2 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Miami | Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 32.6% | 44.3% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 25.0% | 50.0% | 43.3% |
| Passing (close) | 37.0% | 36.0% | 40.2% |
| Standard Downs | 30.0% | 48.9% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 38.5% | 28.6% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Miami | Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.79 | 0.86 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.41 | 0.78 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 0.94 | 1.02 | 0.98 |
| Standard Downs | 0.74 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.88 | 1.70 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Miami | Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.55 | 3.38 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 12.5% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 9.1% | 0.0% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Miami | Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 7.4 | -0.5 |
| Turnover Margin | Virginia +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Virginia +1.46 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Miami +0.46 | |
| TO Points Margin | Virginia +7.8 points | |
| Situational | Miami | Virginia |
| Q1 S&P | 0.641 | 0.488 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.428 | 0.533 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.302 | 0.539 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.439 | 0.464 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.415 | 0.505 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.466 | 0.470 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.486 | 0.511 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Virginia by 16.7 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Virginia by 17 | ||
Miami is the Jobu to my Pedro Serrano. I'm good to them, I stick up for them, and they help me look good by getting thumped by Virginia. Finishing drives has been a major issue in all of Miami's losses this year, and ... well, it was certainly an issue on Saturday, huh? Still, Virginia was easily the more efficient team and earned the win regardless.