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UCLA 38, USC 20
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | UCLA | USC | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 74 | 67 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 64.5% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 28.1 | 30.0 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 14 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 4 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 5.43 | 3.50 | 4.64 |
| Leverage Rate** | 78.8% | 66.7% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.620 | 0.441 | 0.505 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | UCLA | USC | |
| Total | 32.6 | 15.9 | |
| Rushing | 10.2 | 5.5 | |
| Passing | 22.4 | 10.4 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | UCLA | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 51.9% | 38.5% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 48.0% | 43.8% | 43.3% |
| Passing (close) | 55.6% | 34.8% | 40.2% |
| Standard Downs | 53.7% | 42.3% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 45.5% | 30.8% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | UCLA | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.02 | 0.67 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.65 | 0.40 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 1.32 | 0.90 | 0.98 |
| Standard Downs | 0.97 | 0.53 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.24 | 1.04 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | UCLA | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.86 | 2.89 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 5.9% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.0% | 11.1% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | UCLA | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 11.7 | 9.4 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | UCLA +0.59 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | USC +0.59 | |
| TO Points Margin | USC +2.3 points | |
| Situational | UCLA | USC |
| Q1 S&P | 0.672 | 0.364 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.607 | 0.626 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.555 | 0.221 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.515 | 0.498 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.656 | 0.477 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.391 | 0.263 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.582 | 0.541 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: UCLA by 14.5 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: UCLA by 18 | ||
Man ... when UCLA is getting big offensive plays -- and I would assume that passes of 18, 21 25, 31, 38, and 57 yards counts as big plays -- the Bruins look like a national title team. USC's offensive line was as porous as ever and couldn't keep a mediocre pass rush (to date) away from Cody Kessler. This was domination. Thanks in part to a pick six, the score made it seem closer than it was.