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Arkansas 30, Ole Miss 0
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| Basics | Arkansas | Ole Miss | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 67 | 71 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 71.7% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 43.6 | 21.4 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 13 | 14 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 6 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.83 | 0.00 | 4.64 |
| Leverage Rate** | 71.2% | 72.3% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.498 | 0.379 | 0.505 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Arkansas | Ole Miss | |
| Total | 19.5 | 13.5 | |
| Rushing | 10.1 | 3.0 | |
| Passing | 9.4 | 10.5 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Arkansas | Ole Miss | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 40.4% | 31.9% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 38.2% | 16.7% | 43.3% |
| Passing (close) | 44.4% | 41.4% | 40.2% |
| Standard Downs | 46.0% | 29.4% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 26.7% | 38.5% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Arkansas | Ole Miss | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.87 | 0.62 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.69 | 0.58 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 1.17 | 0.63 | 0.98 |
| Standard Downs | 0.78 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.25 | 0.44 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Arkansas | Ole Miss | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.71 | 2.25 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 12.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Arkansas | Ole Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 6 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 4.1 | 38.4 |
| Turnover Margin | Arkansas +5 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Arkansas +2.56 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Arkansas +2.44 | |
| TO Points Margin | Arkansas +34.4 points | |
| Situational | Arkansas | Ole Miss |
| Q1 S&P | 0.669 | 0.272 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.360 | 0.400 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.455 | 0.461 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.186 | 0.403 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.502 | 0.428 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.452 | 0.410 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.296 | 0.325 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Arkansas by 40.4 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Arkansas by 30 | ||
Arkansas was certainly the better team here. The Hogs were more efficient, especially on standard downs, and they had five 20+ yard gains to Ole Miss' three. But it very much cracks me up that these two teams had the same number of scoring opportunities, and one team won by 30. That's hard to do.
Arkansas' six scoring opportunities: TD, FG, TD, MFG, FG, FG. That's not great.
Ole Miss' six scoring opportunities: FUM, INT, Downs, INT, Downs, FUM, INT. That's amazing.
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