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Study Hall: Oklahoma 44, Kansas 7

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Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Oklahoma 44, Kansas 7

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Kansas Oklahoma Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 59 68
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 52.8%
Avg Starting FP 23.9 35.9 30.0
Possessions 15 15
Scoring Opportunities*
1 9
Points Per Opportunity 0.00 4.89 4.64
Leverage Rate** 61.3% 63.9% 68.3%
Close S&P*** 0.235 0.590 0.505
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Kansas Oklahoma
Total 5.0 35.0
Rushing 1.7 33.6
Passing 3.3 1.5
Success Rate (what's this?) Kansas Oklahoma Nat'l Avg
All (close) 19.4% 41.7% 41.8%
Rushing (close) 14.3% 48.2% 43.3%
Passing (close) 30.0% 22.2% 40.2%
Standard Downs 21.1% 43.5% 47.0%
Passing Downs 16.7% 38.5% 30.5%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Kansas Oklahoma Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.40 1.29 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.50 1.42 0.74
Passing (close) 0.30 0.44 0.98
Standard Downs 0.34 1.32 0.77
Passing Downs 0.52 1.22 1.14
Line Stats Kansas Oklahoma Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 0.02 4.31 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 16.7% 0.0% 7.6%
Turnovers Kansas Oklahoma
Turnovers 2 2
Turnover Points (what's this?) 6.6 15.8
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin Oklahoma +0.22
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Kansas +0.22
TO Points Margin Kansas +9.2 points
Situational Kansas Oklahoma
Q1 S&P 0.233 0.500
Q2 S&P 0.238 0.673
Q3 S&P 0.226 0.659
Q4 S&P 0.276 0.407
1st Down S&P 0.281 0.632
2nd Down S&P 0.198 0.550
3rd Down S&P 0.302 0.327
Projected Scoring Margin: Oklahoma by 20.8
Actual Scoring Margin: Oklahoma by 37

Kansas had 16 possessions. One reached Oklahoma territory and stalled out with a turnover on downs (the only touchdown was on a fumble return), two ended in turnovers, one ended with the end of the game, and TWELVE ended in punts, nine of the three-and-out variety. That KU only got whipped in the field position and not outright destroyed is a slight upset.

(I assume that field position is the primary reason for the difference between projected and actual scoring above. Usually when there's that big a difference, special teams are involved.)

This has been a strange year in Norman. The Sooners are a solid 11th in the F/+ ratings because when they look good, they look like this. But they've also managed to throw away (literally, with pick sixes) games against TCU and Kansas State and got their doors blown off by Baylor. They're as good as projected, more or less, and with a terribly disappointing record.