Oklahoma 44, Kansas 7
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|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||52.8%|
|Avg Starting FP||23.9||35.9||30.0|
|Points Per Opportunity||0.00||4.89||4.64|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Kansas||Oklahoma|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Kansas||Oklahoma||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Kansas||Oklahoma||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Kansas||Oklahoma||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||0.02||4.31||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||0.0%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||16.7%||0.0%||7.6%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||6.6||15.8|
|Exp. TO Margin||Oklahoma +0.22|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Kansas +0.22|
|TO Points Margin||Kansas +9.2 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.281||0.632|
|2nd Down S&P||0.198||0.550|
|3rd Down S&P||0.302||0.327|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Oklahoma by 20.8|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Oklahoma by 37|
Kansas had 16 possessions. One reached Oklahoma territory and stalled out with a turnover on downs (the only touchdown was on a fumble return), two ended in turnovers, one ended with the end of the game, and TWELVE ended in punts, nine of the three-and-out variety. That KU only got whipped in the field position and not outright destroyed is a slight upset.
(I assume that field position is the primary reason for the difference between projected and actual scoring above. Usually when there's that big a difference, special teams are involved.)
This has been a strange year in Norman. The Sooners are a solid 11th in the F/+ ratings because when they look good, they look like this. But they've also managed to throw away (literally, with pick sixes) games against TCU and Kansas State and got their doors blown off by Baylor. They're as good as projected, more or less, and with a terribly disappointing record.