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Kansas State 26, West Virginia 20
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Kansas State | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 63 | 85 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 100.0% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 35.3 | 30.1 | 30.0 |
| Possessions | 12 | 12 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
7 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 2.71 | 2.50 | 4.64 |
| Leverage Rate** | 57.1% | 63.5% | 68.3% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.486 | 0.455 | 0.505 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Kansas State | West Virginia | |
| Total | 22.8 | 24.5 | |
| Rushing | 0.1 | 6.9 | |
| Passing | 22.7 | 17.6 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Kansas State | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 34.9% | 37.7% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 6.9% | 36.4% | 43.3% |
| Passing (close) | 58.8% | 38.5% | 40.2% |
| Standard Downs | 33.3% | 35.2% | 47.0% |
| Passing Downs | 37.0% | 41.9% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Kansas State | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 1.03 | 0.77 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.04 | 0.57 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 1.13 | 0.88 | 0.98 |
| Standard Downs | 0.83 | 0.57 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 1.28 | 1.06 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | Kansas State | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | -0.44 | 3.28 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 10.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 4.6% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Kansas State | West Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 2 | 4 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 6.2 | 19.9 |
| Turnover Margin | Kansas State +2 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Kansas State +0.95 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Kansas State +1.05 | |
| TO Points Margin | Kansas State +13.7 points | |
| Situational | Kansas State | West Virginia |
| Q1 S&P | 0.631 | 0.342 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.357 | 0.310 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.431 | 0.648 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.530 | 0.509 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.480 | 0.361 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.528 | 0.556 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.475 | 0.461 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Kansas State by 12.0 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Kansas State by 6 | ||
West Virginia's defense had 10 tackles for loss in 63 plays, and KSU's running game looked absolutely abysmal. But the Wildcats won because they have Tyler Lockett and WVU doesn't. (They also didn't have as many turnovers.) KSU's offense was better on passing downs than standard downs, which ... isn't exactly normal. Or sustainable. But hey, sustainability is a much greater concern in September than late-November.