clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Football Outsiders rankings have been updated for week 14

New, 3 comments

The overall F/+ rankings, along with my S&P+ rankings and line stats, have all been updated for all action through 13 weeks.

F/+

Rk Team Record F/+ Last Wk Change Off. F/+ Rk Def. F/+ Rk ST F/+ Rk
1 Alabama 10-1 35.7% 1 0 18.1% 4 19.0% 2 -1.4% 97
2 Oregon 10-1 33.2% 2 0 21.0% 2 9.0% 27 3.2% 11
3 Ohio State 10-1 32.2% 3 0 16.9% 6 13.5% 11 1.7% 27
4 Mississippi State 10-1 31.0% 5 1 13.0% 12 17.0% 6 1.0% 49
5 TCU 9-1 30.4% 6 1 12.5% 14 15.0% 8 2.8% 14
6 Georgia 9-2 30.3% 8 2 16.5% 7 9.4% 23 4.4% 6
7 Florida State 11-0 28.9% 10 3 17.2% 5 10.3% 20 1.3% 36
8 Auburn 8-3 28.4% 7 -1 20.4% 3 9.1% 26 -1.1% 90
9 Ole Miss 8-3 28.0% 4 -5 7.9% 27 18.8% 4 1.3% 37
10 Baylor 9-1 27.9% 9 -1 12.8% 13 13.7% 10 1.4% 34

There was only one major change near the top of the F/+ rankings this week: Ole Miss predictably took a tumble following a disheartening 30-0 loss at Arkansas. Georgia benefited from the Rebels' fall, and hey look! Florida State's moving up again!

By the way, in 2007, no team finished with an F/+ rating higher than +33.7%, and seven fell between 27.3% and 33.7%. Alabama is currently above that threshold, but the nineteams beneath the Tide are between 27.9% and 33.2%. It's been one of those years.

S&P+

Rk Team Record S&P+ Last Wk Change Off. S&P+ Rk Def. S&P+ Rk
1 Alabama 10-1 266.7 1 0 130.6 3 136.1 1
2 Ohio State 10-1 257.6 2 0 132.0 1 125.6 8
3 Mississippi State 10-1 255.7 3 0 128.7 4 127.0 7
4 Ole Miss 7-3 250.2 4 0 120.3 14 129.9 4
5 Baylor 9-1 249.3 6 1 121.9 11 127.3 6
6 Marshall 11-0 249.2 5 -1 121.8 12 127.4 5
7 LSU 7-4 247.6 8 1 116.4 17 131.2 3
8 Oregon 10-1 246.7 9 1 131.0 2 115.7 21
9 Auburn 8-3 246.6 7 -2 128.4 5 118.2 16
10 TCU 9-1 244.3 11 1 122.4 10 121.8 15

Once again, the outlier here is Marshall. S&P+ basically looks at the results (including Saturday's near loss to UAB, in which the Herd couldn't finish drives to save their lives) and decides, "Marshall, you're destroying bad teams like the No. 6 team in the country would destroy bad teams, therefore..."

(I'm much more comfortable with the Herd's No. 19 F/+ ranking. That sounds about right to me.)

Off. S&P+

Team Off. S&P+ Rk Play
Rating
Rk Rushing
S&P+
Rk Passing
S&P+
Rk Std.
Downs
S&P+
Rk Pass.
Downs
S&P+
Rk Drive
Rating
Rk
Ohio State 132.0 1 147.7 1 138.6 6 158.8 2 133.9 4 179.8 1 133.4 6
Oregon 131.0 2 141.4 2 140.1 4 145.8 6 131.1 7 166.4 4 132.4 7
Alabama 130.6 3 136.6 7 129.6 12 147.7 3 135.5 2 132.5 19 144.8 1
Mississippi State 128.7 4 136.2 9 139.4 5 135.5 8 131.6 6 142.0 10 134.8 5
Auburn 128.4 5 136.3 8 125.2 20 159.6 1 124.4 16 169.9 2 137.0 4
Oklahoma 126.5 6 138.7 5 143.4 3 133.9 9 136.1 1 139.7 13 130.7 8
Georgia Tech 124.1 7 139.8 3 138.0 7 147.4 4 129.0 8 168.6 3 118.7 23
Georgia 123.8 8 139.1 4 148.2 1 131.3 12 134.5 3 143.1 7 122.8 18
Florida State 123.1 9 137.1 6 132.2 11 140.4 7 132.9 5 142.7 8 123.5 16
TCU 122.4 10 125.5 15 143.9 2 113.2 40 123.0 19 129.8 24 130.0 10

Your weekly reminder that Alabama's offense is probably better than you think. Oklahoma's, too. The Sooners are back up to sixth (and ninth in Off. F/+) despite their quarterback and best receiver both getting hurt.

Def. S&P+

Team Def. S&P+ Rk Play
Rating
Rk Rushing
S&P+
Rk Passing
S&P+
Rk Std.
Downs
S&P+
Rk Pass.
Downs
S&P+
Rk Drive
Rating
Rk
Alabama 136.1 1 138.2 6 158.6 1 127.0 12 139.4 1 133.2 15 151.8 1
Clemson 132.6 2 151.2 1 148.1 2 154.2 4 137.3 3 176.7 2 124.7 20
LSU 131.2 3 138.4 5 128.1 12 148.3 6 137.1 4 133.4 14 142.7 7
Ole Miss 129.9 4 144.6 3 135.0 7 156.9 2 138.7 2 161.0 3 133.8 13
Marshall 127.4 5 112.7 32 99.2 75 129.5 10 101.5 63 157.9 5 150.8 2
Baylor 127.3 6 122.1 17 126.4 18 117.8 28 119.4 19 122.9 25 147.8 3
Mississippi State 127.0 7 124.3 15 128.3 11 123.5 19 119.5 17 131.1 16 147.0 5
Ohio State 125.6 8 121.8 19 106.8 47 137.3 8 119.8 16 118.9 33 147.4 4
Virginia Tech 124.3 9 140.9 4 125.4 19 161.1 1 131.9 6 156.6 6 123.9 22
Stanford 123.5 10 148.0 2 142.3 3 148.8 5 133.2 5 180.7 1 112.3 39

Hello, Baylor.

Offensive line

Once again, only two offense rank in the top 10 in both Adj. Line Yards and Adj. Sack Rate: Oklahoma and Alabama.

Defensive line

Virginia Tech's the only defense with top 10 Adj. Line Yards and Adj. Sack Rate rankings. Mizzou's in the top 15 of both.