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Win projections
I saved this one for last because there are almost no ifs whatsoever.
| Atlantic | F/+ Ranking | Proj. Conf. Wins | Last Week (Change) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Florida State (7-0, 10-0) | 10 | 7.87 | 7.25 (+0.61) |
| Clemson (6-2, 7-3) | 20 | 6-2 | 6.34 (-0.34) |
| Louisville (5-3, 7-3) | 16 | 5-3 | 5-3 |
| Boston College (3-3, 6-4) | 34 | 4.03 | 4.03 (+0.00) |
| N.C. State (2-5, 6-5) | 66 | 2.37 | 2.10 (+0.27) |
| Syracuse (1-5, 3-7) | 72 | 1.31 | 1.29 (+0.02) |
| Wake Forest (0-6, 2-8) | 90 | 0.09 | 0.42 (-0.32) |
| Coastal | F/+ Ranking | Proj. Conf. Wins | Last Week (Change) |
| Georgia Tech (6-2, 9-2) | 14 | 6-2 | 5.66 (+0.34) |
| Duke (4-2, 8-2) | 25 | 5.90 | 6.63 (-0.73) |
| Miami (3-3, 6-4) | 11 | 4.72 | 5.34 (-0.62) |
| North Carolina (3-3, 5-5) | 67 | 3.72 | 2.98 (+0.73) |
| Virginia Tech (2-4, 5-5) | 27 | 3.70 | 2.91 (+0.79) |
| Pittsburgh (2-4, 4-6) | 48 | 2.88 | 3.61 (-0.73) |
| Virginia (2-4, 4-6) | 40 | 2.42 | 2.43 (-0.01) |
Atlantic
Overall Odds: FSU 100%.
Coastal
I thank Duke for losing to Virginia Tech and adding at least a little bit of drama to the proceedings. Now, with a damn good Georgia Tech (that Duke beat) in the clubhouse at 6-2, the Blue Devils must win their final two games of the season to take their second straight Coastal crown.
Their final two opponents are, by the F/+ ratings, two of the three worst teams in the league. UNC is certainly a bit of a wildcard, having punched well over its weight on a couple of occasions this season. Still, Duke's heavily favored there, and it's not hard to see why.
Overall Odds: Duke 89.8%, Georgia Tech 10.2%
All Projections
| Week | Date | Road | Home | Road Team's %Chance |
| 13 | 20-Nov-14 | North Carolina | Duke | 8.2% |
| 13 | 22-Nov-14 | Boston College | Florida State | 13.2% |
| 13 | 22-Nov-14 | Miami | Virginia | 80.5% |
| 13 | 22-Nov-14 | Syracuse | Pittsburgh | 19.7% |
| 13 | 22-Nov-14 | Virginia Tech | Wake Forest | 92.7% |
| Week | Date | Road | Home | Road Team's %Chance |
| 14 | 28-Nov-14 | Virginia | Virginia Tech | 22.3% |
| 14 | 29-Nov-14 | NC State | North Carolina | 37.4% |
| 14 | 29-Nov-14 | Pittsburgh | Miami | 8.3% |
| 14 | 29-Nov-14 | Syracuse | Boston College | 10.5% |
| 14 | 29-Nov-14 | Wake Forest | Duke | 2.2% |
Title Games and Title Odds
Here are the "Who wins?" odds for each possible title game:
Florida State vs. Duke: FSU 73.5%
Florida State vs. Georgia Tech: FSU 64.1% (because GT's quite good)
Combine that all together, and you get the following odds for winning the conference:
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