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Study Hall: USC 38, California 30

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

USC 38, California 30

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Basics California USC Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 79 77
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 62.2%
Avg Starting FP 23.4 35.8 29.9
Possessions 12 13
Scoring Opportunities*
6 7
Points Per Opportunity 4.67 5.43 4.67
Leverage Rate** 24.1% 58.4% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.407 0.578 0.505
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) California USC
Total 25.5 32.4
Rushing 7.7 6.1
Passing 17.8 26.3
Success Rate (what's this?) California USC Nat'l Avg
All (close) 29.0% 50.0% 41.8%
Rushing (close) 33.3% 35.5% 43.4%
Passing (close) 27.3% 62.9% 40.2%
Standard Downs 31.6% 51.1% 47.1%
Passing Downs 25.0% 47.6% 30.5%
IsoPPP (what's this?) California USC Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.87 0.89 0.85
Rushing (close) 0.50 0.50 0.74
Passing (close) 1.06 1.08 0.98
Standard Downs 1.04 0.80 0.77
Passing Downs 0.54 1.10 1.14
Line Stats California USC Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 3.17 1.62 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 0.0% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 10.0% 9.1% 7.5%
Turnovers California USC
Turnovers 1 1
Turnover Points (what's this?) 5.8 4.7
Turnover Margin +0
Exp. TO Margin USC +1.61
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) California +1.61
TO Points Margin USC +1.1 points
Situational California USC
Q1 S&P 0.280 0.680
Q2 S&P 0.486 0.487
Q3 S&P 0.546 0.383
Q4 S&P 0.611 0.534
1st Down S&P 0.467 0.509
2nd Down S&P 0.549 0.481
3rd Down S&P 0.410 0.676
Projected Scoring Margin: USC by 8.1
Actual Scoring Margin: USC by 8

Pretty annoying of USC to break out to a huge early lead (31-2 after 29 minutes) and deprive us of a particularly close overall game, then allow Cal to nearly come all the way back a) after I had stopped paying attention and gone to bed and b) allowing Cal to cover when F/+ had picked USC. Not cool, Trojans.