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USC 38, California 30
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | California | USC | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 79 | 77 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 62.2% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 23.4 | 35.8 | 29.9 |
| Possessions | 12 | 13 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
6 | 7 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 4.67 | 5.43 | 4.67 |
| Leverage Rate** | 24.1% | 58.4% | 68.2% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.407 | 0.578 | 0.505 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | California | USC | |
| Total | 25.5 | 32.4 | |
| Rushing | 7.7 | 6.1 | |
| Passing | 17.8 | 26.3 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | California | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 29.0% | 50.0% | 41.8% |
| Rushing (close) | 33.3% | 35.5% | 43.4% |
| Passing (close) | 27.3% | 62.9% | 40.2% |
| Standard Downs | 31.6% | 51.1% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 25.0% | 47.6% | 30.5% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | California | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.87 | 0.89 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.74 |
| Passing (close) | 1.06 | 1.08 | 0.98 |
| Standard Downs | 1.04 | 0.80 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.54 | 1.10 | 1.14 |
| Line Stats | California | USC | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 3.17 | 1.62 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 0.0% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 10.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| Turnovers | California | USC |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 1 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 5.8 | 4.7 |
| Turnover Margin | +0 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | USC +1.61 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | California +1.61 | |
| TO Points Margin | USC +1.1 points | |
| Situational | California | USC |
| Q1 S&P | 0.280 | 0.680 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.486 | 0.487 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.546 | 0.383 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.611 | 0.534 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.467 | 0.509 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.549 | 0.481 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.410 | 0.676 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: USC by 8.1 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: USC by 8 | ||
Pretty annoying of USC to break out to a huge early lead (31-2 after 29 minutes) and deprive us of a particularly close overall game, then allow Cal to nearly come all the way back a) after I had stopped paying attention and gone to bed and b) allowing Cal to cover when F/+ had picked USC. Not cool, Trojans.