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Texas 33, West Virginia 16
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
| Basics | Texas | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Plays | 68 | 93 | |
| Close Rate (non-garbage time) | 88.8% | ||
| Avg Starting FP | 40.2 | 27.0 | 29.9 |
| Possessions | 15 | 16 | |
| Scoring Opportunities* |
8 | 8 | |
| Points Per Opportunity | 3.88 | 2.00 | 4.69 |
| Leverage Rate** | 63.2% | 70.7% | 68.2% |
| Close S&P*** | 0.476 | 0.451 | 0.505 |
|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40). ** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs) *** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP) |
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| EqPts (what's this?) | Texas | West Virginia | |
| Total | 22.7 | 28.2 | |
| Rushing | 15.8 | 15.5 | |
| Passing | 6.9 | 12.7 | |
| Success Rate (what's this?) | Texas | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 36.8% | 40.0% | 41.9% |
| Rushing (close) | 38.5% | 46.7% | 43.5% |
| Passing (close) | 34.5% | 35.6% | 40.2% |
| Standard Downs | 51.2% | 47.2% | 47.1% |
| Passing Downs | 12.0% | 22.7% | 30.6% |
| IsoPPP (what's this?) | Texas | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| All (close) | 0.91 | 0.65 | 0.85 |
| Rushing (close) | 1.05 | 0.71 | 0.73 |
| Passing (close) | 0.69 | 0.61 | 0.98 |
| Standard Downs | 0.95 | 0.63 | 0.77 |
| Passing Downs | 0.57 | 0.76 | 1.13 |
| Line Stats | Texas | West Virginia | Nat'l Avg |
| Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) | 2.63 | 3.20 | 2.92 |
| Std. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Pass. Downs Sack Rt. | 0.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% |
| Turnovers | Texas | West Virginia |
|---|---|---|
| Turnovers | 1 | 2 |
| Turnover Points (what's this?) | 3.8 | 9.4 |
| Turnover Margin | Texas +1 | |
| Exp. TO Margin | Texas +0.87 | |
| TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) | Texas +0.13 | |
| TO Points Margin | Texas +5.6 points | |
| Situational | Texas | West Virginia |
| Q1 S&P | 0.508 | 0.471 |
| Q2 S&P | 0.666 | 0.283 |
| Q3 S&P | 0.311 | 0.483 |
| Q4 S&P | 0.358 | 0.609 |
| 1st Down S&P | 0.586 | 0.516 |
| 2nd Down S&P | 0.388 | 0.567 |
| 3rd Down S&P | 0.350 | 0.312 |
| Projected Scoring Margin: Texas by 0.2 | ||
| Actual Scoring Margin: Texas by 17 | ||
Man, if either team had been able to actually convert scoring opportunities into points, they'd have run away with this one. Texas tilted the field in its favor and had slightly bigger big plays, but WVU was more efficient, and that accounted for most of the difference between the 20s. But while UT was pretty bad at turning chances into points (four touchdowns, field goal, missed field goal, turnover on downs, turnover), WVU was amazingly awful: two touchdowns, field goal, two missed field goals, turnover on downs, punt, end of game. Eight trips, 16 points. That and a pretty drastic field position disadvantage are how you pretty much guarantee a road loss.