clock menu more-arrow no yes

Filed under:

Study Hall: Texas 33, West Virginia 16

Brendan Maloney-USA TODAY Sports

Texas 33, West Virginia 16

Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.

Basics Texas West Virginia Nat'l Avg
Total Plays 68 93
Close Rate (non-garbage time) 88.8%
Avg Starting FP 40.2 27.0 29.9
Possessions 15 16
Scoring Opportunities*
8 8
Points Per Opportunity 3.88 2.00 4.69
Leverage Rate** 63.2% 70.7% 68.2%
Close S&P*** 0.476 0.451 0.505
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
EqPts (what's this?) Texas West Virginia
Total 22.7 28.2
Rushing 15.8 15.5
Passing 6.9 12.7
Success Rate (what's this?) Texas West Virginia Nat'l Avg
All (close) 36.8% 40.0% 41.9%
Rushing (close) 38.5% 46.7% 43.5%
Passing (close) 34.5% 35.6% 40.2%
Standard Downs 51.2% 47.2% 47.1%
Passing Downs 12.0% 22.7% 30.6%
IsoPPP (what's this?) Texas West Virginia Nat'l Avg
All (close) 0.91 0.65 0.85
Rushing (close) 1.05 0.71 0.73
Passing (close) 0.69 0.61 0.98
Standard Downs 0.95 0.63 0.77
Passing Downs 0.57 0.76 1.13
Line Stats Texas West Virginia Nat'l Avg
Line Yards/Carry (what's this?) 2.63 3.20 2.92
Std. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 6.9% 4.7%
Pass. Downs Sack Rt. 0.0% 6.3% 7.6%
Turnovers Texas West Virginia
Turnovers 1 2
Turnover Points (what's this?) 3.8 9.4
Turnover Margin Texas +1
Exp. TO Margin Texas +0.87
TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin) Texas +0.13
TO Points Margin Texas +5.6 points
Situational Texas West Virginia
Q1 S&P 0.508 0.471
Q2 S&P 0.666 0.283
Q3 S&P 0.311 0.483
Q4 S&P 0.358 0.609
1st Down S&P 0.586 0.516
2nd Down S&P 0.388 0.567
3rd Down S&P 0.350 0.312
Projected Scoring Margin: Texas by 0.2
Actual Scoring Margin: Texas by 17

Man, if either team had been able to actually convert scoring opportunities into points, they'd have run away with this one. Texas tilted the field in its favor and had slightly bigger big plays, but WVU was more efficient, and that accounted for most of the difference between the 20s. But while UT was pretty bad at turning chances into points (four touchdowns, field goal, missed field goal, turnover on downs, turnover), WVU was amazingly awful: two touchdowns, field goal, two missed field goals, turnover on downs, punt, end of game. Eight trips, 16 points. That and a pretty drastic field position disadvantage are how you pretty much guarantee a road loss.