Michigan 10, Northwestern 9
Confused? Visit the Advanced Stats glossary here.
|Close Rate (non-garbage time)||100.0%|
|Avg Starting FP||42.2||28.6||29.9|
|Points Per Opportunity||1.67||2.50||4.69|
* A scoring opportunity occurs when an offense gets a first down inside the opponent's 40 (or scores from outside the 40).
** Leverage Rate = Standard Downs / (Standard Downs + Passing Downs)
*** When using IsoPPP, the S&P formula is (0.8*Success Rate) + (0.2*IsoPPP)
|EqPts (what's this?)||Michigan||Northwestern|
|Success Rate (what's this?)||Michigan||Northwestern||Nat'l Avg|
|IsoPPP (what's this?)||Michigan||Northwestern||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Stats||Michigan||Northwestern||Nat'l Avg|
|Line Yards/Carry (what's this?)||2.57||1.57||2.92|
|Std. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||6.3%||4.7%|
|Pass. Downs Sack Rt.||0.0%||17.4%||7.6%|
|Turnover Points (what's this?)||17.1||12.0|
|Exp. TO Margin||Northwestern +0.29|
|TO Luck (Margin vs. Exp. Margin)||Michigan +0.29|
|TO Points Margin||Northwestern +5.1 points|
|1st Down S&P||0.515||0.375|
|2nd Down S&P||0.499||0.387|
|3rd Down S&P||0.217||0.468|
|Projected Scoring Margin: Northwestern by 2.8|
|Actual Scoring Margin: Michigan by 1|
On five or six different occasions, I found myself stuck watching this game in horror before remembering that there were other, more aesthetically pleasing games on.
I mean ... hey, good for Michigan for making the plays to win another game. I was serious when I said that 2-10 or 3-9 were legitimately on the table a while back, and now the Wolverines are 5-5. That's not nearly good enough -- nor is a 39% success rate against the Northwestern defense (12% on passing downs) -- but it's better than it could have been. And the defense still seems to legitimately care.